EliteserienMatchday 23

Bodo/Glimt 3-1 Kristiansund: prediction, tips and result

·

Bodo/Glimt
2-14-22-13-21-2
3-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Kristiansund
1-31-82-02-20-1
Stadium:
Aspmyra Stadion, Bodo
Referee:
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won68%

our numbers: 4.7 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2

Other tips

  • Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Over 3.5Lost58%

    referee Sigurd Smehus Kringstad averages 5.0 card points a match, league average 3.7; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Fouls: Over 21.5Won68%

    our numbers: 24.5 fouls against a league average of 20.9; referee Sigurd Smehus Kringstad averages 23.2 fouls a match, league average 20.9

  • Shots on Target – Kristiansund: Under 3.5Won68%

    Kristiansund: 2.8 shots on target a match, Bodo/Glimt's opponents had 2.1 on average, league average 4.0; under 3.5 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 league matches, Bodo/Glimt's opponents had under 3.5 in 8 of 10 (51% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 4:0Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBodo/Glimt195291%87%Draw6%9%Kristiansund14953%5%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%52%O2.581%76%|exp. goals 3.2 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Kristiansund0:3Bodo/GlimtW
  2. Bodo/Glimt7:1KristiansundW
  3. Kristiansund1:1Bodo/GlimtD
  4. Bodo/Glimt4:0KristiansundW
  5. Kristiansund2:4Bodo/GlimtW
Bodo/Glimt's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses4.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.2league 10.9over 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 11.2 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.3under 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.won · ended 2
RefereeS. Smehus Kringstad+1.0 yellow cards vs average14 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)69%BTTS yes3:04:0coverageleague 63% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market3.7 : 0.6total 4.3Attack/defence3.2 : 0.8total 4.0
Bodo/Glimt : Kristiansund
Most likely scores
Market3-011%4-010%2-09%5-08%3-17%2-1—4-1—Attack/defence3-010%4-08%2-010%5-0—3-18%2-17%4-16%
MarketAttack/defence3-03-011%3-010%4-04-010%4-08%2-02-09%2-010%5-05-08%5-0—3-13-17%3-18%2-12-1—2-17%4-14-1—4-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat97%95%95%
12 – no draw94%90%90%
Over 1.5 goals93%91%91%
1 – Bodo/Glimt win91%84% · Elo 87%84%· Elo 87%
Over 2.5 goals81%76%76%
Our tip: Over 3.5 goals63%57%57%
Both teams to score: no54%48%48%
Both teams to score: yes46%52%52%
Under 3.5 goals37%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals19%24%24%
X2 – away team avoid defeat9%16%16%
Under 1.5 goals7%9%9%
X – draw6%10% · Elo 9%10%· Elo 9%
2 – Kristiansund win3%5% · Elo 5%5%· Elo 5%
Attack vs defence
Bodo/Glimt attack vs Kristiansund defenceattack1753defence1404+349 pts to the attack
Kristiansund attack vs Bodo/Glimt defenceattack1381defence1660−279 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 9.3 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.558%54%
9.545%42%
10.534%34%
11.524%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bodo/Glimtwe expect 7.0, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 67%
Kristiansundwe expect 2.8, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 32%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 74%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 26%over
We expect 24.5 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.579%57%
20.574%52%
21.568%43%
22.561%35%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bodo/Glimtwe expect 10.5, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 48%
Kristiansundwe expect 11.8, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 61%
Referee: 23.2 fouls per match on average (16 matches in our data)+4.8 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.576%74%
2.553%50%
3.531%27%
4.515%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Bodo/Glimtwe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 39%
Kristiansundwe expect 1.4, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 42%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Kristiansund concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Bodo/Glimt score 2.5 goals per game
  • Bodo/Glimt: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Bodo/Glimt: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Kristiansund: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Bodo/Glimt

Kristiansund

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Bodo/Glimt22172356:2053
15Kristiansund22541322:4319
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund?

Bodo/Glimt 3-1 Kristiansund (half time 1-0).

Did the Bodo/Glimt vs Kristiansund tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 3.5. The tip won.

See also