EliteserienMatchday 17

Valerenga 1-2 Bodo/Glimt: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Intility Arena, Oslo
Referee:
Sivert Oksnes Amland

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Bodo/GlimtWon63%

Bodo/Glimt: won 8 of their last 10 league matches; 5 league wins in a row

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won72%

    over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.1

  • Cards: Over 3.5Lost55%

    referee Sivert Oksnes Amland averages 5.0 cards a match, league average 3.6

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Won9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloValerenga154118%12%Draw19%17%Bodo/Glimt195263%71%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%65%O2.572%69%|exp. goals 1.3 : 2.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Valerenga3:1Bodo/GlimtW
  2. Bodo/Glimt7:2ValerengaL
  3. Bodo/Glimt4:2ValerengaL
  4. Valerenga1:3Bodo/GlimtL
  5. Valerenga0:6Bodo/GlimtL
Valerenga's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses5.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.6under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 16
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.6over 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.lost · ended 1
RefereeS. Oksnes Amland+1.8 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 2.5total 3.8Attack/defence1.3 : 2.3total 3.6
Valerenga : Bodo/Glimt
Most likely scores
Market1-29%1-18%1-38%0-27%0-1—0-36%2-2—Attack/defence1-210%1-18%1-37%0-28%0-16%0-3—2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-21-29%1-210%1-11-18%1-18%1-31-38%1-37%0-20-27%0-28%0-10-1—0-16%0-30-36%0-3—2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%87%87%
X2 – away team avoid defeat82%81%81%
12 – no draw81%80%80%
Over 2.5 goals72%69%69%
Both teams to score: yes66%65%65%
Our tip: 2 – Bodo/Glimt win63%61% · Elo 71%61%· Elo 71%
Over 3.5 goals51%48%48%
Under 3.5 goals49%52%52%
1X – home team avoid defeat37%39%39%
Both teams to score: no34%35%35%
Under 2.5 goals28%31%31%
X – draw19%20% · Elo 17%20%· Elo 17%
1 – Valerenga win18%19% · Elo 12%19%· Elo 12%
Under 1.5 goals11%13%13%
Attack vs defence
Valerenga attack vs Bodo/Glimt defenceattack1502defence1670−168 pts to the attack
Bodo/Glimt attack vs Valerenga defenceattack1749defence1424+325 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Valerenga concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Bodo/Glimt score 2.7 goals per game
  • Bodo/Glimt matches average only 2.3 cards (league 3.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Valerenga: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Bodo/Glimt concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Bodo/Glimt: 5 wins in a row
  • Valerenga: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Bodo/Glimt: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Bodo/Glimt22172356:2053
13Valerenga22651135:4523
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt?

Valerenga 1-2 Bodo/Glimt (half time 0-1).

Did the Valerenga vs Bodo/Glimt tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Bodo/Glimt. The tip won.