EliteserienMatchday 16

Valerenga 0-3 HamKam: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Intility Arena, Oslo
Referee:
Mathias Stofringshaug

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: ValerengaLost60%

HamKam: winless in their last 5 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloValerenga154460%47%Draw21%26%HamKam155819%28%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%61%O2.564%61%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. HamKam1:0ValerengaL
  2. HamKam2:1ValerengaL
  3. Valerenga1:1HamKamD
  4. HamKam0:2ValerengaW
  5. Valerenga3:0HamKamW
Valerenga's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.6under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.6under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.lost · ended 5
RefereeM. Stofringshaug0.0 cards vs average3 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.2total 3.3Attack/defence1.8 : 1.3total 3.1
Valerenga : HamKam
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%2-08%1-07%3-17%1-2—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%2-07%1-08%3-1—1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-08%2-07%1-01-07%1-08%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%82%82%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%73%73%
12 – no draw79%77%77%
Over 2.5 goals64%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes61%61%61%
Our tip: 1 – Valerenga win60%50% · Elo 47%50%· Elo 47%
Under 3.5 goals58%62%62%
Over 3.5 goals42%38%38%
X2 – away team avoid defeat40%50%50%
Both teams to score: no39%39%39%
Under 2.5 goals36%39%39%
X – draw21%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
2 – HamKam win19%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals15%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Valerenga attack vs HamKam defenceattack1519defence1469+50 pts to the attack
HamKam attack vs Valerenga defenceattack1450defence1434+16 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Valerenga concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Valerenga: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • HamKam: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11HamKam22751033:4626
13Valerenga22651135:4523
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Valerenga vs HamKam?

Valerenga 0-3 HamKam (half time 0-1).

Did the Valerenga vs HamKam tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Valerenga. The tip lost.