EliteserienMatchday 16

Bodo/Glimt 4-0 Lillestrom: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Aspmyra Stadion, Bodo
Referee:
Mohammad Usman Aslam

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Bodo/GlimtWon77%

Bodo/Glimt: won 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; won 8 of their last 10 league matches

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won73%

    our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 3:0Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBodo/Glimt195277%82%Draw14%11%Lillestrom154410%7%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%54%O2.573%71%|exp. goals 2.8 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Lillestrom0:2Bodo/GlimtW
  2. Bodo/Glimt5:2LillestromW
  3. Lillestrom0:5Bodo/GlimtW
  4. Bodo/Glimt3:1LillestromW
  5. Lillestrom1:2Bodo/GlimtW
Bodo/Glimt's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses4.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.6under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.6under 3.5: 50%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 2
RefereeM. Usman Aslam+0.8 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.9 : 0.9total 3.8Attack/defence2.8 : 0.8total 3.7
Bodo/Glimt : Lillestrom
Most likely scores
Market2-09%3-09%2-19%3-18%1-0—4-0—1-16%Attack/defence2-010%3-010%2-19%3-18%1-07%4-07%1-1—
MarketAttack/defence2-02-09%2-010%3-03-09%3-010%2-12-19%2-19%3-13-18%3-18%1-01-0—1-07%4-04-0—4-07%1-11-16%1-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat91%92%92%
Over 1.5 goals90%88%88%
12 – no draw87%86%86%
Our tip: 1 – Bodo/Glimt win77%78% · Elo 82%78%· Elo 82%
Over 2.5 goals73%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes58%54%54%
Over 3.5 goals53%50%50%
Under 3.5 goals47%50%50%
Both teams to score: no42%46%46%
Under 2.5 goals27%29%29%
X2 – away team avoid defeat24%22%22%
X – draw14%14% · Elo 11%14%· Elo 11%
2 – Lillestrom win10%8% · Elo 7%8%· Elo 7%
Under 1.5 goals10%12%12%
Attack vs defence
Bodo/Glimt attack vs Lillestrom defenceattack1750defence1465+285 pts to the attack
Lillestrom attack vs Bodo/Glimt defenceattack1438defence1659−221 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Bodo/Glimt score 2.8 goals per game
  • Bodo/Glimt concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Bodo/Glimt: 4 wins in a row
  • Lillestrom: newly promoted
  • Bodo/Glimt: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Lillestrom: 9 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Bodo/Glimt22172356:2053
6Lillestrom22103930:3133
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom?

Bodo/Glimt 4-0 Lillestrom (half time 2-0).

Did the Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Bodo/Glimt. The tip won.