EliteserienMatchday 11

Lillestrom 1-2 Viking: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Åråsen, Lillestrom
Referee:
Rohit Saggi

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost60%

referee Rohit Saggi averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 3.5; our numbers: 3.2 cards against a league average of 3.5

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost39%

referee Rohit Saggi averages 2.8 cards a match, league average 3.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLillestrom154430%19%Draw26%22%Viking185844%59%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%63%O2.564%63%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Lillestrom1:4VikingL
  2. Viking1:4LillestromW
  3. Lillestrom1:3VikingL
  4. Viking2:0LillestromL
  5. Viking0:3LillestromW
Lillestrom's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.5under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.2league 3.5under 3.5: 60%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 6
RefereeR. Saggi−1.9 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.8total 3.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.9total 3.2
Lillestrom : Viking
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%0-26%0-1—2-17%2-27%Attack/defence1-110%1-210%0-27%0-17%2-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-110%1-21-29%1-210%0-20-26%0-27%0-10-1—0-17%2-12-17%2-17%2-22-27%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%83%83%
12 – no draw74%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat70%75%75%
Both teams to score: yes65%63%63%
Over 2.5 goals64%63%63%
Under 3.5 goals58%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat56%48%48%
2 – Viking win44%52% · Elo 59%52%· Elo 59%
Over 3.5 goals42%40%40%
Under 2.5 goals36%37%37%
Both teams to score: no35%38%38%
1 – Lillestrom win30%25% · Elo 19%25%· Elo 19%
X – draw26%23% · Elo 22%23%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals15%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Lillestrom attack vs Viking defenceattack1445defence1578−133 pts to the attack
Viking attack vs Lillestrom defenceattack1698defence1460+238 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Viking score 2.6 goals per game
  • Viking: 27 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 20 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Lillestrom: newly promoted
  • Lillestrom: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Viking: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Viking22172356:2053
6Lillestrom22103930:3133
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lillestrom vs Viking?

Lillestrom 1-2 Viking (half time 0-1).

Did the Lillestrom vs Viking tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.