EliteserienMatchday 22

Viking 3-0 Lillestrom: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
SR-Bank Arena, Stavanger
Referee:
Stian Rovig Sletner

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Won69%

over 9.5 corners in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (64% of league matches); 13.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.8 in the visitors', league average 10.9

Other tips

  • Match Result: VikingWon73%

    Viking: won 9 of their last 9 league matches at home; won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won74%

    our numbers: 3.9 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloViking185873%76%Draw15%14%Lillestrom154412%10%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%57%O2.574%69%|exp. goals 2.6 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Lillestrom1:2VikingW
  2. Lillestrom1:4VikingW
  3. Viking1:4LillestromL
  4. Lillestrom1:3VikingW
  5. Viking2:0LillestromW
Viking's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.4league 10.9over 9.5: 69%Expected corners: 11.4 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.5under 4.5: 64%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 69% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 2
RefereeS. Rovig Sletner+0.9 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.8 : 1.1total 3.9Attack/defence2.6 : 1.0total 3.6
Viking : Lillestrom
Most likely scores
Market2-08%2-19%3-08%3-18%1-17%1-0—Attack/defence2-010%2-19%3-08%3-18%1-17%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-08%2-010%2-12-19%2-19%3-03-08%3-08%3-13-18%3-18%1-11-17%1-17%1-01-0—1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals90%87%87%
1X – home team avoid defeat88%89%89%
12 – no draw85%84%84%
Over 2.5 goals74%69%69%
1 – Viking win73%73% · Elo 76%73%· Elo 76%
Both teams to score: yes62%57%57%
Over 3.5 goals54%47%47%
Under 3.5 goals46%53%53%
Both teams to score: no38%43%43%
X2 – away team avoid defeat27%28%28%
Under 2.5 goals26%31%31%
X – draw15%16% · Elo 14%16%· Elo 14%
2 – Lillestrom win12%11% · Elo 10%11%· Elo 10%
Under 1.5 goals10%13%13%
Attack vs defence
Viking attack vs Lillestrom defenceattack1694defence1471+223 pts to the attack
Lillestrom attack vs Viking defenceattack1418defence1590−172 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Viking matches average 13.0 corners (league 10.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Lillestrom: newly promoted
  • Viking: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Lillestrom: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Viking22172356:2053
6Lillestrom22103930:3133
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Viking vs Lillestrom?

Viking 3-0 Lillestrom (half time 2-0).

Did the Viking vs Lillestrom tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip won.