EliteserienMatchday 20

Brann 1-2 Lillestrom: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Brann Stadion, Bergen
Referee:
Espen Eskas

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won67%

over 2.5 goals in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (62% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBrann170953%67%Draw23%19%Lillestrom154424%14%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%58%O2.567%62%|exp. goals 2.1 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Brann2:1LillestromW
  2. Lillestrom0:2BrannW
  3. Lillestrom0:2BrannW
  4. Brann2:2LillestromD
  5. Lillestrom2:3BrannW
Brann's record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.8over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.7league 3.6under 3.5: 50%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 2
RefereeE. Eskas0.0 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.4total 3.5Attack/defence2.1 : 1.1total 3.2
Brann : Lillestrom
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%2-07%1-0—3-17%3-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-09%1-08%3-17%3-06%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-07%2-09%1-01-0—1-08%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-06%2-22-26%2-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals87%83%83%
12 – no draw77%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat76%81%81%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals67%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes66%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals55%60%60%
1 – Brann win53%60% · Elo 67%60%· Elo 67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%40%40%
Over 3.5 goals45%40%40%
Both teams to score: no34%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals33%38%38%
2 – Lillestrom win24%19% · Elo 14%19%· Elo 14%
X – draw23%21% · Elo 19%21%· Elo 19%
Under 1.5 goals13%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Brann attack vs Lillestrom defenceattack1566defence1454+112 pts to the attack
Lillestrom attack vs Brann defenceattack1421defence1514−93 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Brann: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Lillestrom: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Lillestrom: newly promoted
  • Brann: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Lillestrom: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Lillestrom22103930:3133
7Brann22921139:3429
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Brann vs Lillestrom?

Brann 1-2 Lillestrom (half time 0-2).

Did the Brann vs Lillestrom tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.