EliteserienMatchday 19
Lillestrom 1-4 Fredrikstad: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Åråsen, Lillestrom
- Referee:
- Tore Hansen
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%51%O2.559%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Fredrikstad0:2LillestromW
- Fredrikstad2:1LillestromL
- Lillestrom0:3FredrikstadL
- Lillestrom1:2FredrikstadL
- Fredrikstad3:4LillestromW
Lillestrom's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.8over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.5over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.lost · ended 3
RefereeT. Hansen+0.4 cards vs average9 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.1total 3.0Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Lillestrom : FredrikstadMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-08%2-110%2-09%0-1—0-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-08%0-19%0-08%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-01-08%1-011%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-08%0-10-1—0-19%0-00-0—0-08%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%72% | 72% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 79%70% | 70% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Lillestrom win | 55%43% · Elo 41% | 43%· Elo 41% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 45%57% | 57% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%49% | 49% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%54% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%25% | 25% |
| X – draw | 24%27% · Elo 26% | 27%· Elo 26% |
| 2 – Fredrikstad win | 21%30% · Elo 33% | 30%· Elo 33% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%28% | 28% |
Attack vs defence
Lillestrom attack vs Fredrikstad defenceattack1418defence1521−103 pts to the attack
Fredrikstad attack vs Lillestrom defenceattack1396defence1469−73 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lillestrom: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Lillestrom: newly promoted
- Lillestrom: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Fredrikstad: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30:31 | 33 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 26:33 | 29 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lillestrom vs Fredrikstad?
Lillestrom 1-4 Fredrikstad (half time 1-2).