EliteserienMatchday 21
Lillestrom 2-0 Valerenga: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Åråsen, Lillestrom
- Referee:
- Rohit Saggi
Our tips
Main tip
Corners: Over 10.5Won56%
over 10.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches); 11.7 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 12.4 in the visitors', league average 10.9
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost70%
over 2.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (62% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%65%O2.570%63%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Valerenga0:2LillestromW
- Lillestrom2:0ValerengaW
- Valerenga3:4LillestromW
- Valerenga3:1LillestromL
- Lillestrom2:0ValerengaW
Lillestrom's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.2league 10.9over 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 11.2 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.4league 3.6under 3.5: 56%Expected cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 6
RefereeR. Saggi−0.3 cards vs average12 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.5total 3.6Attack/defence1.8 : 1.5total 3.3
Lillestrom : ValerengaMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%1-26%2-27%1-0—2-0—3-16%Attack/defence1-110%2-19%1-27%2-27%1-07%2-06%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-26%1-27%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-07%2-02-0—2-06%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%84% | 84% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%68% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69%65% | 65% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52%59% | 59% |
| 1 – Lillestrom win | 51%45% · Elo 44% | 45%· Elo 44% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 49%55% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48%41% | 41% |
| Both teams to score: no | 31%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%37% | 37% |
| 2 – Valerenga win | 26%32% · Elo 30% | 32%· Elo 30% |
| X – draw | 23%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%16% | 16% |
Attack vs defence
Lillestrom attack vs Valerenga defenceattack1426defence1397+29 pts to the attack
Valerenga attack vs Lillestrom defenceattack1534defence1457+77 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Valerenga concede 2.6 goals per game
- Valerenga score 2.3 goals per game
- Valerenga: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Lillestrom: newly promoted
- Lillestrom: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Valerenga: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30:31 | 33 |
| 13 | Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 35:45 | 23 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
Lillestrom 2-0 Valerenga (half time 1-0).
Did the Lillestrom vs Valerenga tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 10.5. The tip won.