EliteserienMatchday 20

Sarpsborg 08 2-2 Valerenga: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
Referee:
Marius Hansen Grotta

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won59%

3.4 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.3 in the visitors', league average 3.6

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won69%

    over 2.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (62% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won37%

under 2.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (31% of league matches); 3.4 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.3 in the visitors', league average 3.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSarpsborg 08159351%50%Draw23%25%Valerenga154126%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%64%O2.569%64%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Valerenga3:2Sarpsborg 08L
  2. Valerenga4:0Sarpsborg 08L
  3. Sarpsborg 081:1ValerengaD
  4. Sarpsborg 083:2ValerengaW
  5. Valerenga0:2Sarpsborg 08W
Sarpsborg 08's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.8over 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 15
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.6under 3.5: 59%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 2
RefereeM. Hansen Grotta−0.6 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.5total 3.6Attack/defence1.9 : 1.4total 3.3
Sarpsborg 08 : Valerenga
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%2-27%2-0—1-0—1-26%3-16%Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-26%2-07%1-07%1-27%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-22-27%2-26%2-02-0—2-07%1-01-0—1-07%1-21-26%1-27%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%84%84%
12 – no draw77%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%73%73%
Over 2.5 goals69%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes69%64%64%
Under 3.5 goals52%58%58%
1 – Sarpsborg 08 win51%51% · Elo 50%51%· Elo 50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat49%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals48%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals31%36%36%
Both teams to score: no31%36%36%
2 – Valerenga win26%27% · Elo 25%27%· Elo 25%
X – draw23%23% · Elo 25%23%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals12%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Sarpsborg 08 attack vs Valerenga defenceattack1468defence1399+69 pts to the attack
Valerenga attack vs Sarpsborg 08 defenceattack1531defence1503+28 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Valerenga concede 2.6 goals per game
  • Valerenga score 2.4 goals per game
  • Valerenga matches average only 2.3 cards (league 3.6) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Valerenga: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sarpsborg 08: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Valerenga: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Sarpsborg 082277828:3128
13Valerenga22651135:4523
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga?

Sarpsborg 08 2-2 Valerenga (half time 1-0).

Did the Sarpsborg 08 vs Valerenga tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.