EliteserienMatchday 18

Aalesund 5-5 Valerenga: prediction, tips and result

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Aalesund
2-21-61-12-61-1
5-5Full time(half time 4-2)
Valerenga
1-20-33-26-10-4
Stadium:
Color Line Stadion, Aalesund
Referee:
Mischa Kellerhals

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won65%

referee Mischa Kellerhals averages 2.2 cards a match, league average 3.5; our numbers: 3.0 cards against a league average of 3.5

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon70%

    goals at both ends in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (56% of league matches); Aalesund: scored in each of their last 9 league matches

  • Corners: Over 10.5Won56%

    over 10.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (52% of league matches); 12.2 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.5 in the visitors', league average 10.8

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won44%

referee Mischa Kellerhals averages 2.2 cards a match, league average 3.5; our numbers: 3.0 cards against a league average of 3.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloAalesund142036%28%Draw24%26%Valerenga154140%46%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS70%66%O2.570%65%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.6both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Valerenga6:1AalesundL
  2. Valerenga3:1AalesundL
  3. Aalesund0:1ValerengaL
  4. Valerenga4:0AalesundL
  5. Aalesund2:2ValerengaD
Aalesund's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.2league 10.8over 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 11.2 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 15
Cardsleague cards3.0league 3.5under 3.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.won · ended 1
RefereeM. Kellerhals−2.1 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.8total 3.5Attack/defence1.8 : 1.6total 3.3
Aalesund : Valerenga
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-0—2-0—1-35%Attack/defence1-110%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-06%2-06%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-06%2-02-0—2-06%1-31-35%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%84%84%
12 – no draw76%77%77%
Over 2.5 goals70%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes70%66%66%
X2 – away team avoid defeat64%57%57%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%66%66%
Under 3.5 goals52%58%58%
Over 3.5 goals48%42%42%
2 – Valerenga win40%34% · Elo 46%34%· Elo 46%
1 – Aalesund win36%43% · Elo 28%43%· Elo 28%
Under 2.5 goals30%36%36%
Both teams to score: no30%34%34%
X – draw24%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals12%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Aalesund attack vs Valerenga defenceattack1455defence1424+31 pts to the attack
Valerenga attack vs Aalesund defenceattack1503defence1390+113 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Aalesund concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Valerenga concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Valerenga: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Aalesund: no win in 7 matches
  • Aalesund: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Valerenga: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Aalesund

Valerenga

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Valerenga22651135:4523
14Aalesund2249935:5021
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Aalesund vs Valerenga?

Aalesund 5-5 Valerenga (half time 4-2).

Did the Aalesund vs Valerenga tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.

See also