EliteserienMatchday 19

Valerenga 3-4 Molde: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Intility Arena, Oslo
Referee:
Christian Moen

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won72%

over 2.5 goals in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (62% of league matches); our numbers: 3.8 goals in total in this match, league average 3.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:2Lost8%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloValerenga154134%32%Draw24%26%Molde168742%41%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS72%66%O2.572%65%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Molde5:1ValerengaL
  2. Molde4:1ValerengaL
  3. Valerenga2:3MoldeL
  4. Molde0:0ValerengaD
  5. Valerenga0:4MoldeL
Valerenga's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.8over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.5under 3.5: 55%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 5
RefereeC. Moen+0.2 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 2.0total 3.8Attack/defence1.7 : 1.7total 3.4
Valerenga : Molde
Most likely scores
Market1-19%1-28%2-17%2-27%0-1—1-0—1-35%Attack/defence1-110%1-28%2-18%2-27%0-16%1-06%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%1-21-28%1-28%2-12-17%2-18%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-1—0-16%1-01-0—1-06%1-31-35%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%85%85%
12 – no draw76%77%77%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals72%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes72%66%66%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%63%63%
1X – home team avoid defeat58%61%61%
Over 3.5 goals52%43%43%
Under 3.5 goals48%57%57%
2 – Molde win42%39% · Elo 41%39%· Elo 41%
1 – Valerenga win34%37% · Elo 32%37%· Elo 32%
Under 2.5 goals28%35%35%
Both teams to score: no28%34%34%
X – draw24%23% · Elo 26%23%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals11%15%15%
Attack vs defence
Valerenga attack vs Molde defenceattack1524defence1536−12 pts to the attack
Molde attack vs Valerenga defenceattack1564defence1408+156 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Valerenga concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Valerenga matches average only 2.2 cards (league 3.5) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Valerenga: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Molde: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Valerenga: 14 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Molde: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Molde22114746:3437
13Valerenga22651135:4523
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Valerenga vs Molde?

Valerenga 3-4 Molde (half time 3-4).

Did the Valerenga vs Molde tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.