EliteserienMatchday 12
Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%O2.581%79%|exp. goals 3.2 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Valerenga1:2Bodo/GlimtW
- Valerenga3:1Bodo/GlimtL
- Bodo/Glimt7:2ValerengaW
- Bodo/Glimt4:2ValerengaW
- Valerenga1:3Bodo/GlimtW
Bodo/Glimt's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss5.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.3league 10.9over 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 11.3 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model3.4 : 1.0total 4.4Attack/defence3.2 : 1.0total 4.2
Bodo/Glimt : ValerengaMost likely scores
Model3-08%3-18%2-07%2-17%4-07%4-1—Attack/defence3-08%3-18%2-08%2-18%4-07%4-17%
ModelAttack/defence3-03-08%3-08%3-13-18%3-18%2-02-07%2-08%2-12-17%2-18%4-04-07%4-07%4-14-1—4-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 93%92% | 92% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 93%92% | 92% |
| 12 – no draw | 89%88% | 88% |
| 1 – Bodo/Glimt win | 83%80% · Elo 84% | 80%· Elo 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81%79% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 64%60% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 36%40% | 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 19%21% | 21% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 17%20% | 20% |
| X – draw | 11%12% · Elo 10% | 12%· Elo 10% |
| 2 – Valerenga win | 7%8% · Elo 6% | 8%· Elo 6% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 7%8% | 8% |
Attack vs defence
Bodo/Glimt attack vs Valerenga defenceattack1746defence1409+337 pts to the attack
Valerenga attack vs Bodo/Glimt defenceattack1513defence1663−150 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 9.9 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.565%55%
9.553%43%
10.541%35%
11.530%21%
Each team on its own
Bodo/Glimtwe expect 7.4, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 71%
Valerengawe expect 3.3, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 25%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 21.2 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.560%56%
20.553%52%
21.546%43%
22.539%35%
Each team on its own
Bodo/Glimtwe expect 9.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
Valerengawe expect 11.6, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 59%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.578%73%
2.555%50%
3.533%28%
4.517%12%
Each team on its own
Bodo/Glimtwe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Valerengawe expect 1.4, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 42%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Valerenga concede 2.4 goals per game
- Bodo/Glimt score 2.6 goals per game
- Bodo/Glimt: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Valerenga: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Valerenga matches average 13.6 corners (league 10.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Valerenga: no win in 8 matches
- Bodo/Glimt: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Valerenga: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56:20 | 53 |
| 13 | Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 35:45 | 23 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga?
Bodo/Glimt are the favourites. Chances: Bodo/Glimt win 83%, draw 11%, Valerenga win 7%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga?
Expected goals: 4.4 (Bodo/Glimt 3.4, Valerenga 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 81%. Most likely score: 3-0.
When is Bodo/Glimt vs Valerenga?
The Eliteserien match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).