EliteserienMatchday 24
Valerenga vs Brann: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS70%66%O2.569%65%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.7
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Brann2:3ValerengaW
- Brann3:2ValerengaL
- Valerenga2:4BrannL
- Valerenga1:2BrannL
- Brann3:1ValerengaL
Valerenga's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses4.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.6league 10.9over 10.5: 60%Expected corners: 11.6 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.3under 3.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.8total 3.6Attack/defence1.7 : 1.7total 3.4
Valerenga : BrannMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-0—0-1—3-15%Attack/defence1-110%2-18%1-28%2-27%1-06%0-16%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-0—1-06%0-10-1—0-16%3-13-15%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%85% | 85% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%77% | 77% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70%66% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69%65% | 65% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%63% | 63% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 61%61% | 61% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52%57% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48%43% | 43% |
| 1 – Valerenga win | 38%40% · Elo 27% | 40%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Brann win | 37%37% · Elo 47% | 37%· Elo 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31%35% | 35% |
| Both teams to score: no | 30%34% | 34% |
| X – draw | 24%23% · Elo 25% | 23%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Valerenga attack vs Brann defenceattack1513defence1521−8 pts to the attack
Brann attack vs Valerenga defenceattack1538defence1409+129 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 9.7 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.563%55%
9.550%43%
10.539%35%
11.528%21%
Each team on its own
Valerengawe expect 5.7, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 49%
Brannwe expect 4.4, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 21.9 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.565%56%
20.558%52%
21.551%43%
22.544%35%
Each team on its own
Valerengawe expect 11.8, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 61%
Brannwe expect 10.2, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 45%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.575%73%
2.550%50%
3.529%28%
4.514%12%
Each team on its own
Valerengawe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Brannwe expect 1.3, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Valerenga concede 2.4 goals per game
- Valerenga: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Valerenga matches average 13.6 corners (league 10.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Valerenga: no win in 8 matches
- Valerenga: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Brann: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 39:34 | 29 |
| 13 | Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 35:45 | 23 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Valerenga vs Brann?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Valerenga win 38%, draw 24%, Brann win 37%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Valerenga vs Brann?
Expected goals: 3.6 (Valerenga 1.8, Brann 1.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 69%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Valerenga vs Brann?
The chance that both teams score is 70%.
When is Valerenga vs Brann?
The Eliteserien match kicks off 18 October 2026, 16:00 (UK time).