EliteserienMatchday 23
KFUM Oslo 2-1 Valerenga: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- KFUM Arena, Oslo
- Referee:
- Marius Lien
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Won72%
referee Marius Lien averages 2.1 yellow cards a match, league average 3.3; our numbers: 2.7 yellow cards against a league average of 3.3
Other tips
- Offsides: Over 2.5Won59%
our numbers: 3.1 offsides against a league average of 2.7
For the brave
Yellow Cards: Under 2.5Won50%
referee Marius Lien averages 2.1 yellow cards a match, league average 3.3; our numbers: 2.7 yellow cards against a league average of 3.3
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%60%O2.560%57%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
- Valerenga2:2KFUM OsloD
- Valerenga1:1KFUM OsloD
- KFUM Oslo0:1ValerengaL
KFUM Oslo's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.3 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.1league 10.9over 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 11.1 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 19
Yellow cardsleague yellows2.7league 3.3under 3.5: 72%Expected yellow cards: 2.7 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 2
RefereeM. Lien−1.8 yellow cards vs average13 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%O2.51:1coverageleague 69% · H2H 2/3covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
KFUM Oslo : ValerengaMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-18%1-29%1-0—0-17%2-0—2-26%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-27%1-08%0-16%2-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-29%1-27%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-17%0-16%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-26%2-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%75% | 75% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%60% | 60% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%65% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%57% | 57% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 58%70% | 70% |
| 2 – Valerenga win | 42%30% · Elo 29% | 30%· Elo 29% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%35% | 35% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%40% | 40% |
| 1 – KFUM Oslo win | 32%45% · Elo 45% | 45%· Elo 45% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
KFUM Oslo attack vs Valerenga defenceattack1389defence1410−21 pts to the attack
Valerenga attack vs KFUM Oslo defenceattack1513defence1504+9 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 9.5 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.559%55%
9.547%43%
10.535%34%
11.525%21%
Each team on its own
KFUM Oslowe expect 5.3, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 44%
Valerengawe expect 4.3, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 21.3 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.561%56%
20.554%52%
21.546%43%
22.539%35%
Each team on its own
KFUM Oslowe expect 10.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 48%
Valerengawe expect 10.5, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 47%
Referee: 20.9 fouls per match on average (18 matches in our data)+0.6 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 3.1 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.581%73%
2.559%49%
3.537%27%
4.520%12%
Each team on its own
KFUM Oslowe expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Valerengawe expect 1.9, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Valerenga concede 2.6 goals per game
- Valerenga: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Valerenga: no win in 7 matches
- KFUM Oslo: 24 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Valerenga: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 27:36 | 28 |
| 13 | Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 35:45 | 23 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga?
KFUM Oslo 2-1 Valerenga (half time 1-1).
Did the KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.