EliteserienMatchday 22

Valerenga 1-1 Fredrikstad: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Intility Arena, Oslo
Referee:
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won62%

2.9 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.8 in the visitors', league average 3.5

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon64%

    goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Won11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloValerenga154448%38%Draw24%27%Fredrikstad160728%35%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%60%O2.563%58%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Fredrikstad1:1ValerengaD
  2. Valerenga1:1FredrikstadD
  3. Fredrikstad2:0ValerengaL
  4. Fredrikstad1:2ValerengaW
  5. Valerenga3:2FredrikstadW
Valerenga's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 10.9over 9.5: 65%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 15
Cardsleague cards4.0league 3.5under 4.5: 62%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.In this league 69% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 2
RefereeS. Smehus Kringstad+1.9 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.4total 3.3Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
Valerenga : Fredrikstad
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-0—1-27%2-07%2-26%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-08%1-27%2-07%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%1-21-27%1-27%2-02-07%2-07%2-22-26%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%80%80%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes64%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals63%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals59%64%64%
X2 – away team avoid defeat52%53%53%
1 – Valerenga win48%47% · Elo 38%47%· Elo 38%
Over 3.5 goals41%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals37%42%42%
Both teams to score: no36%40%40%
2 – Fredrikstad win28%29% · Elo 35%29%· Elo 35%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 27%24%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals16%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Valerenga attack vs Fredrikstad defenceattack1519defence1529−10 pts to the attack
Fredrikstad attack vs Valerenga defenceattack1407defence1406+1 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Valerenga concede 2.6 goals per game
  • Valerenga score 2.3 goals per game
  • Valerenga: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Fredrikstad: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Valerenga: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Fredrikstad: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Fredrikstad2285926:3329
13Valerenga22651135:4523
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Valerenga vs Fredrikstad?

Valerenga 1-1 Fredrikstad (half time 0-0).

Did the Valerenga vs Fredrikstad tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.