EliteserienMatchday 24
Kristiansund vs Aalesund: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%63%O2.562%61%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.5
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Aalesund1:1KristiansundD
- Kristiansund4:0AalesundW
- Aalesund1:0KristiansundL
- Aalesund1:2KristiansundW
- Kristiansund7:2AalesundW
Kristiansund's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.2league 10.9over 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 11.2 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 58%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.6total 3.2Attack/defence1.7 : 1.5total 3.2
Kristiansund : AalesundMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-06%2-0—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%1-07%2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%2-22-27%2-27%1-01-06%1-07%2-02-0—2-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%82% | 82% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%76% | 76% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65%63% | 63% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 64%67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62%61% | 61% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 61%57% | 57% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%61% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%39% | 39% |
| 1 – Kristiansund win | 39%43% · Elo 53% | 43%· Elo 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%39% | 39% |
| 2 – Aalesund win | 36%33% · Elo 23% | 33%· Elo 23% |
| Both teams to score: no | 35%37% | 37% |
| X – draw | 25%24% · Elo 24% | 24%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Kristiansund attack vs Aalesund defenceattack1378defence1386−8 pts to the attack
Aalesund attack vs Kristiansund defenceattack1472defence1411+61 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 9.8 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.563%55%
9.551%43%
10.539%35%
11.529%21%
Each team on its own
Kristiansundwe expect 5.0, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 38%
Aalesundwe expect 5.0, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 55%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 64%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 37%over
We expect 22.8 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.570%56%
20.564%52%
21.557%43%
22.550%35%
Each team on its own
Kristiansundwe expect 10.7, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 50%
Aalesundwe expect 12.2, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 65%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.577%73%
2.553%50%
3.531%28%
4.516%12%
Each team on its own
Kristiansundwe expect 1.7, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
Aalesundwe expect 1.2, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 32%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Aalesund7 matches in a row with BTTS awayoverall: 3Went on 55%League 60%Model 65%Record 21
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Aalesund concede 2.8 goals per game
- Kristiansund concede 2.2 goals per game
- Aalesund matches average 13.9 corners (league 10.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Kristiansund: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Aalesund: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35:50 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22:43 | 19 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Kristiansund vs Aalesund?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Kristiansund win 39%, draw 25%, Aalesund win 36%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Kristiansund vs Aalesund?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Kristiansund 1.6, Aalesund 1.6). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 62%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Kristiansund vs Aalesund?
The chance that both teams score is 65%.
When is Kristiansund vs Aalesund?
The Eliteserien match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).