EliteserienMatchday 23
Aalesund 2-4 Sarpsborg 08: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Color Line Stadion, Aalesund
- Referee:
- Svein Tore Sinnes
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: YesWon68%
Aalesund: scored in each of their last 14 league matches; goals at both ends in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (57% of league matches)
Other tips
- Corners: Over 10.5Won56%
13.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.8 in the visitors', league average 10.9
- Shots on Target – Sarpsborg 08: Over 3.5Won62%
Sarpsborg 08: over 3.5 shots on target in 6 of their last 10 league matches, Aalesund's opponents had over 3.5 in 10 of 10 (49% of league matches); Aalesund's opponents had 6.8 shots on target on average, league average 4.0
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS69%62%O2.568%60%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Aalesund3:2Sarpsborg 08W
- Sarpsborg 083:1AalesundL
- Aalesund1:3Sarpsborg 08L
- Sarpsborg 081:2AalesundW
- Aalesund0:1Sarpsborg 08L
Aalesund's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.2league 10.9over 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 11.2 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 14
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.3under 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 3
RefereeS. Tore Sinnes0.0 yellow cards vs average11 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%1X1:2coverageleague 75% · H2H 2/5not covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.7total 3.5Attack/defence1.6 : 1.5total 3.1
Aalesund : Sarpsborg 08Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-18%1-28%1-0—2-27%0-1—3-15%Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-28%1-07%2-26%0-16%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-0—1-07%2-22-27%2-26%0-10-1—0-16%3-13-15%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 87%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%76% | 76% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: yes | 69%62% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68%60% | 60% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65%66% | 66% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 60%58% | 58% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 53%63% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47%37% | 37% |
| 1 – Aalesund win | 40%42% · Elo 28% | 42%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Sarpsborg 08 win | 35%34% · Elo 46% | 34%· Elo 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32%40% | 40% |
| Both teams to score: no | 31%38% | 38% |
| X – draw | 25%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Aalesund attack vs Sarpsborg 08 defenceattack1473defence1494−21 pts to the attack
Sarpsborg 08 attack vs Aalesund defenceattack1465defence1400+65 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 9.5 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.559%55%
9.547%43%
10.535%34%
11.525%21%
Each team on its own
Aalesundwe expect 5.3, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 42%
Sarpsborg 08we expect 4.4, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 62%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 57%close to the league averageunder 43%over
We expect 21.8 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.564%57%
20.557%52%
21.550%43%
22.543%35%
Each team on its own
Aalesundwe expect 11.2, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 55%
Sarpsborg 08we expect 10.1, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 42%
Referee: 20.4 fouls per match on average (17 matches in our data)+1.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 2.8 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.576%75%
2.552%50%
3.530%28%
4.515%13%
Each team on its own
Aalesundwe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Sarpsborg 08we expect 1.2, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 35%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Aalesund concede 2.6 goals per game
- Aalesund matches average 13.4 corners (league 10.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Sarpsborg 08: no win in 7 matches
- Aalesund: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Sarpsborg 08: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28:31 | 28 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35:50 | 21 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08?
Aalesund 2-4 Sarpsborg 08 (half time 0-1).
Did the Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: Yes. The tip won.