EliteserienMatchday 23

Rosenborg 1-1 Sandefjord: prediction, tips and result

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Rosenborg
2-12-44-05-33-1
1-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Sandefjord
3-02-31-10-02-1
Stadium:
Lerkendal, Trondheim
Referee:
Christian Moen

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Match Result: RosenborgLost72%

Rosenborg: won 8 of their last 10 league matches; 3 league wins in a row

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost68%

    over 2.5 goals in 9 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (62% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Rosenborg: Over 12.5Won67%

    our numbers for Rosenborg: 14.6 fouls against a league average of 10.6; Rosenborg: 14.6 fouls a match, Sandefjord's opponents committed 13.9 on average, league average 10.6

  • Shots on Target – Rosenborg: Over 5.5Won66%

    our numbers for Rosenborg: 6.9 shots on target against a league average of 5.1; Rosenborg: 7.4 shots on target a match, Sandefjord's opponents had 5.2 on average, league average 5.1

  • Offsides – Sandefjord: Under 1.5Lost71%

    our numbers for Sandefjord: 1.1 offsides against a league average of 1.3

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRosenborg169473%56%Draw16%23%Sandefjord160311%21%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%60%O2.568%60%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sandefjord0:0RosenborgD
  2. Rosenborg1:1SandefjordD
  3. Sandefjord2:0RosenborgL
  4. Sandefjord0:1RosenborgW
  5. Rosenborg2:0SandefjordW
Rosenborg's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 10.9over 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.3under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.lost · ended 4
RefereeC. Moen+1.1 yellow cards vs average9 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)67%BTTS yes2:0coverageleague 62% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 0.9total 3.5Attack/defence1.9 : 1.2total 3.1
Rosenborg : Sandefjord
Most likely scores
Market1-18%2-010%2-19%3-09%1-0—3-18%1-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-08%2-110%3-0—1-08%3-16%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-111%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-09%3-0—1-01-0—1-08%3-13-18%3-16%1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat89%77%77%
Over 1.5 goals87%81%81%
12 – no draw84%77%77%
Our tip: 1 – Rosenborg win73%54% · Elo 56%54%· Elo 56%
Over 2.5 goals68%60%60%
Both teams to score: yes56%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals54%63%63%
Over 3.5 goals46%37%37%
Both teams to score: no44%41%41%
Under 2.5 goals32%40%40%
X2 – away team avoid defeat27%46%46%
X – draw16%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals13%19%19%
2 – Sandefjord win11%23% · Elo 21%23%· Elo 21%
Attack vs defence
Rosenborg attack vs Sandefjord defenceattack1576defence1520+56 pts to the attack
Sandefjord attack vs Rosenborg defenceattack1478defence1522−44 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 9.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 9.7 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.562%54%
9.550%42%
10.539%34%
11.528%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rosenborgwe expect 6.9, league average 5.1 · chance of over 5.5: 66%
Sandefjordwe expect 3.5, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 75%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 25%over
We expect 24.8 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.581%57%
20.575%52%
21.569%43%
22.563%35%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rosenborgwe expect 14.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 83%
Sandefjordwe expect 11.7, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 60%
Referee: 17.3 fouls per match on average (12 matches in our data)−2.0 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.571%74%
2.546%50%
3.525%27%
4.511%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rosenborgwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Sandefjordwe expect 1.1, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 29%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rosenborg score 3.0 goals per game
  • Rosenborg: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Rosenborg: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Rosenborg: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sandefjord: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Rosenborg

Sandefjord

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Rosenborg22104840:3134
12Sandefjord22661022:2824
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Rosenborg vs Sandefjord?

Rosenborg 1-1 Sandefjord (half time 1-0).

Did the Rosenborg vs Sandefjord tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Rosenborg. The tip lost.

See also