EliteserienMatchday 20

Rosenborg 4-0 HamKam: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Lerkendal, Trondheim
Referee:
Marius Lien

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won65%

referee Marius Lien averages 2.5 cards a match, league average 3.6; our numbers: 3.0 cards against a league average of 3.6

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won67%

    over 2.5 goals in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (62% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Won43%

referee Marius Lien averages 2.5 cards a match, league average 3.6; our numbers: 3.0 cards against a league average of 3.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRosenborg169475%56%Draw15%23%HamKam155510%21%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%57%O2.567%58%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. HamKam4:0RosenborgL
  2. Rosenborg2:0HamKamW
  3. HamKam0:2RosenborgW
  4. Rosenborg1:0HamKamW
  5. HamKam3:0RosenborgL
Rosenborg's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 10.8over 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 10.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards3.0league 3.6under 3.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.0 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 2
RefereeM. Lien−1.6 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 0.9total 3.5Attack/defence1.9 : 1.1total 3.0
Rosenborg : HamKam
Most likely scores
Market2-011%1-1—2-19%3-09%1-08%3-18%Attack/defence2-09%1-111%2-110%3-06%1-09%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-09%1-11-1—1-111%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-09%3-06%1-01-08%1-09%3-13-18%3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat90%79%79%
Over 1.5 goals86%80%80%
12 – no draw85%77%77%
1 – Rosenborg win75%56% · Elo 56%56%· Elo 56%
Over 2.5 goals67%58%58%
Under 3.5 goals55%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes54%57%57%
Both teams to score: no46%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals45%36%36%
Under 2.5 goals33%42%42%
X2 – away team avoid defeat25%44%44%
X – draw15%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
Under 1.5 goals14%20%20%
2 – HamKam win10%21% · Elo 21%21%· Elo 21%
Attack vs defence
Rosenborg attack vs HamKam defenceattack1545defence1479+66 pts to the attack
HamKam attack vs Rosenborg defenceattack1435defence1520−85 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rosenborg: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Rosenborg: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • HamKam: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Rosenborg22104840:3134
11HamKam22751033:4626
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Rosenborg vs HamKam?

Rosenborg 4-0 HamKam (half time 1-0).

Did the Rosenborg vs HamKam tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.