EliteserienMatchday 24

Tromso vs KFUM Oslo: prediction, tips and stats

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Our tips

Tip in 4d 10h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloTromso168762%59%Draw21%22%KFUM Oslo156017%19%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%51%O2.558%52%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. KFUM Oslo0:0TromsoD
  2. Tromso2:0KFUM OsloW
  3. KFUM Oslo1:3TromsoW
  4. KFUM Oslo0:1TromsoW
  5. Tromso1:2KFUM OsloL
Tromso's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.9under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.0total 3.0Attack/defence1.8 : 1.0total 2.7
Tromso : KFUM Oslo
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-09%2-010%2-110%3-07%0-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-011%2-010%2-110%3-06%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-01-09%1-011%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-07%3-06%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat83%81%81%
Over 1.5 goals81%76%76%
12 – no draw79%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals65%71%71%
1 – Tromso win62%57% · Elo 59%57%· Elo 59%
Over 2.5 goals58%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes54%51%51%
Both teams to score: no46%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals42%49%49%
X2 – away team avoid defeat38%43%43%
Over 3.5 goals35%29%29%
X – draw21%24% · Elo 22%24%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals19%24%24%
2 – KFUM Oslo win17%20% · Elo 19%20%· Elo 19%
Attack vs defence
Tromso attack vs KFUM Oslo defenceattack1520defence1504+16 pts to the attack
KFUM Oslo attack vs Tromso defenceattack1390defence1564−174 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 9.2 in this match, 9.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
8.556%55%
9.543%43%
10.532%35%
11.522%21%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tromsowe expect 5.7, league average 5.2 · chance of over 5.5: 50%
KFUM Oslowe expect 3.6, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 29%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 21.1 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.559%56%
20.552%52%
21.545%43%
22.538%35%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tromsowe expect 10.8, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 50%
KFUM Oslowe expect 10.3, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 45%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.573%73%
2.548%50%
3.526%28%
4.512%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Tromsowe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
KFUM Oslowe expect 1.2, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 33%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Streaks before the match

  • Bilal NjieKFUM Oslo4 matches with a goal or assist3 goals, 1 assistWent on 39%Season 50%
  • Bjorn Martin KristensenKFUM Oslo3 matches with a goal or assist2 goals, 1 assistWent on 33%Season 23%
All player streaks

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Tromso score 2.3 goals per game
  • Tromso matches average only 8.8 corners (league 10.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • KFUM Oslo: 16 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Tromso: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • KFUM Oslo: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Tromso22116541:3039
10KFUM Oslo22841027:3628
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tromso vs KFUM Oslo?

Tromso are the favourites. Chances: Tromso win 62%, draw 21%, KFUM Oslo win 17%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in Tromso vs KFUM Oslo?

Expected goals: 3.0 (Tromso 2.0, KFUM Oslo 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 58%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Will both teams score in Tromso vs KFUM Oslo?

The chance that both teams score is 54%.

When is Tromso vs KFUM Oslo?

The Eliteserien match kicks off 18 October 2026, 18:15 (UK time).