1. LigaMatchday 6
Arka Gdynia 1-1 Polonia: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadion GOSiR, Gdynia
- Referee:
- Mariusz Myszka
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost66%
under 4.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (64% of league matches)
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost56%
over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost10%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%59%O2.556%57%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Arka Gdynia3:1PoloniaW
- Polonia0:1Arka GdyniaW
- Polonia1:3Arka GdyniaW
- Arka Gdynia4:0PoloniaW
- Arka Gdynia2:1PoloniaW
Arka Gdynia's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 11.2under 11.5: 60%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 11.2 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 11.5 corners.won · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.0under 4.5: 66%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 6
RefereeM. Myszka−0.1 cards vs average12 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.2total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
Arka Gdynia : PoloniaMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-110%1-08%2-08%1-26%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-08%2-07%1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-110%2-19%1-01-08%1-08%2-02-08%2-07%1-21-26%1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%72% | 72% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58%59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%57% | 57% |
| 1 – Arka Gdynia win | 50%48% · Elo 59% | 48%· Elo 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%52% | 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%43% | 43% |
| Both teams to score: no | 42%41% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34%35% | 35% |
| X – draw | 26%24% · Elo 24% | 24%· Elo 24% |
| 2 – Polonia win | 24%28% · Elo 17% | 28%· Elo 17% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Arka Gdynia attack vs Polonia defenceattack1525defence1453+72 pts to the attack
Polonia attack vs Arka Gdynia defenceattack1527defence1523+4 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Polonia concede 2.4 goals per game
- Polonia: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Arka Gdynia: newly promoted
- Arka Gdynia: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Polonia: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Polonia | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 15:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Arka Gdynia vs Polonia?
Arka Gdynia 1-1 Polonia (half time 1-0).
Did the Arka Gdynia vs Polonia tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.