1. LigaMatchday 12

Arka Gdynia vs Termalica B-B.: prediction, tips and stats

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Arka Gdynia
1-11-10-31-21-2
1.5:1.3Pre-match
Termalica B-B.
2-21-02-12-12-2

Our tips

Tip in 10d 10h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloArka Gdynia144244%37%Draw26%29%Termalica B-B.146831%34%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%O2.555%54%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Arka Gdynia2:3Termalica B-B.L
  2. Termalica B-B.2:0Arka GdyniaL
  3. Arka Gdynia2:1Termalica B-B.W
  4. Termalica B-B.2:1Arka GdyniaL
  5. Termalica B-B.2:1Arka GdyniaL
Arka Gdynia's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 11.1under 11.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 50%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Arka Gdynia : Termalica B-B.
Most likely scores
Model1-112%2-19%1-08%1-27%0-1—2-07%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-18%2-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-08%1-09%1-21-27%1-28%0-10-1—0-18%2-02-07%2-07%
OutcomeModelAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%77%77%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals68%69%69%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals55%54%54%
Under 2.5 goals45%46%46%
1 – Arka Gdynia win44%41% · Elo 37%41%· Elo 37%
Over 3.5 goals33%31%31%
2 – Termalica B-B. win31%33% · Elo 34%33%· Elo 34%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals21%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Arka Gdynia attack vs Termalica B-B. defenceattack1503defence1507−4 pts to the attack
Termalica B-B. attack vs Arka Gdynia defenceattack1534defence1507+27 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 45%over
We expect 8.1 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.569%64%
7.555%48%
8.542%36%
9.530%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Arka Gdyniawe expect 4.4, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 44%
Termalica B-B.we expect 3.8, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 25.0 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
24.551%54%
25.545%51%
26.539%44%
27.533%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Arka Gdyniawe expect 11.8, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 31%
Termalica B-B.we expect 13.1, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 54%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 3.1 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.580%74%
2.559%49%
3.537%28%
4.520%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Arka Gdyniawe expect 1.8, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Termalica B-B.we expect 1.2, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 35%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Termalica B-B.: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Arka Gdynia: newly promoted
  • Termalica B-B.: newly promoted
  • Arka Gdynia: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Termalica B-B.: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Arka Gdynia

Termalica B-B.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Termalica B-B.1052316:1417
16Arka Gdynia1032512:1311
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Arka Gdynia vs Termalica B-B.?

Arka Gdynia are the favourites. Chances: Arka Gdynia win 44%, draw 26%, Termalica B-B. win 31%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.

How many goals will there be in Arka Gdynia vs Termalica B-B.?

Expected goals: 2.9 (Arka Gdynia 1.6, Termalica B-B. 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.

When is Arka Gdynia vs Termalica B-B.?

The 1. Liga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 14:30 (UK time).

See also