1. LigaMatchday 10

Arka Gdynia 1-2 Polonia Warszawa: prediction, tips and result

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Arka Gdynia
0-21-11-10-31-2
1-2Full time(half time 1-1)
Polonia Warszawa
2-02-21-22-43-1
Stadium:
Stadion GOSiR, Gdynia

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Polonia Warszawa (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won70%

Polonia Warszawa: 1.1 card points a match, Arka Gdynia's opponents collected 1.6 card points on average, league average 2.2; under 2.5 card points in 8 of their last 9 league matches, Arka Gdynia's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 7 of 9 (65% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 11.5Won59%

    under 11.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 9 (58% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards – Polonia Warszawa (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5Won44%

Polonia Warszawa: under 1.5 card points in 7 of their last 9 league matches, Arka Gdynia's opponents collected under 1.5 card points in 6 of 9 (36% of league matches); 1.1 card points a match, Arka Gdynia's opponents collected 1.6 card points on average, league average 2.2; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloArka Gdynia144242%48%Draw27%27%Polonia Warszawa138831%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%59%O2.552%55%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Arka Gdynia0:0Polonia WarszawaD
  2. Polonia Warszawa0:3Arka GdyniaW
  3. Polonia Warszawa0:3Arka GdyniaW
  4. Arka Gdynia2:3Polonia WarszawaL
  5. Polonia Warszawa4:0Arka GdyniaL
Arka Gdynia's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 11.1under 11.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.won · ended 8
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 0
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)68%X22:1coverageleague 71% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.3total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Arka Gdynia : Polonia Warszawa
Most likely scores
Market1-113%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-1—0-07%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-08%1-28%0-17%0-0—2-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-09%1-08%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-1—0-17%0-00-07%0-0—2-02-0—2-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals77%79%79%
12 – no draw73%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals70%67%67%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%65%65%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes57%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals52%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals48%45%45%
Both teams to score: no43%41%41%
1 – Arka Gdynia win42%40% · Elo 48%40%· Elo 48%
2 – Polonia Warszawa win31%35% · Elo 25%35%· Elo 25%
Over 3.5 goals30%33%33%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals23%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Arka Gdynia attack vs Polonia Warszawa defenceattack1508defence1515−7 pts to the attack
Polonia Warszawa attack vs Arka Gdynia defenceattack1563defence1508+55 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 7.7 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.564%62%
7.551%48%
8.537%37%
9.526%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Arka Gdyniawe expect 3.8, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 33%
Polonia Warszawawe expect 3.8, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Over 25.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 26.4 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
24.560%53%
25.554%51%
26.547%43%
27.541%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Arka Gdyniawe expect 13.6, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 48%
Polonia Warszawawe expect 12.9, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 52%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.574%73%
2.550%48%
3.528%26%
4.514%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Arka Gdyniawe expect 1.2, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Polonia Warszawawe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 43%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Arka Gdynia: newly promoted
  • Arka Gdynia: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Polonia Warszawa: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Arka Gdynia

Polonia Warszawa

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Polonia Warszawa1052317:1317
16Arka Gdynia1032512:1311
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa?

Arka Gdynia 1-2 Polonia Warszawa (half time 1-1).

Did the Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Warszawa tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Polonia Warszawa (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also