1. LigaMatchday 8

Polonia Warszawa 2-2 Polonia: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadium Polonii, Warsaw
Referee:
Grzegorz Kawalko

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Under 11.5Won58%

under 11.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (58% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon61%

    goals at both ends in 5 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (63% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPolonia Warszawa138844%45%Draw27%28%Polonia133029%27%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%60%O2.558%58%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Polonia3:2Polonia WarszawaL
  2. Polonia Warszawa2:1PoloniaW
  3. Polonia0:2Polonia WarszawaW
  4. Polonia Warszawa2:2PoloniaD
  5. Polonia1:0Polonia WarszawaL
Polonia Warszawa's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners11.0league 11.1under 11.5: 58%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.0under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 3
RefereeG. Kawalko−0.7 cards vs average8 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
Polonia Warszawa : Polonia
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-07%1-08%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%80%80%
12 – no draw73%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals65%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes61%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals58%58%58%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%52%52%
1 – Polonia Warszawa win44%48% · Elo 45%48%· Elo 45%
Under 2.5 goals42%42%42%
Both teams to score: no39%41%41%
Over 3.5 goals35%36%36%
2 – Polonia win29%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
X – draw27%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals19%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Polonia Warszawa attack vs Polonia defenceattack1553defence1466+87 pts to the attack
Polonia attack vs Polonia Warszawa defenceattack1517defence1505+12 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Polonia concede 2.3 goals per game
  • Polonia: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Polonia Warszawa: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Polonia: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Polonia Warszawa1052317:1317
13Polonia1026215:1712
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Polonia Warszawa vs Polonia?

Polonia Warszawa 2-2 Polonia (half time 1-0).

Did the Polonia Warszawa vs Polonia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Under 11.5. The tip won.