1. LigaMatchday 9

Polonia Warszawa 2-0 Glogow: prediction, tips and result

Saturday 19 September · 14:30

Polonia Warszawa

0-1 3-1 2-4 1-2 2-2

2-0Full time(half time 0-0)

Glogow

0-0 1-1 2-0 0-1 1-1

Stadium:: Stadium Polonii, Warsaw

Our tips

Main tip

Corners: Under 11.5Won57%

10.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.0 in the visitors', league average 11.1

For the brave

Corners: Under 10.5Lost46%

10.6 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.0 in the visitors', league average 11.1; under 10.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 8 (47% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPolonia Warszawa138847%40%Draw27%29%Glogow132726%31%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%54%O2.551%50%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2not both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

25/04/202625/04/26Polonia Warszawa1:0GlogowW
18/10/202518/10/25Glogow2:0Polonia WarszawaL
29/03/202529/03/25Polonia Warszawa4:2GlogowW
30/08/202430/08/24Glogow1:2Polonia WarszawaW
03/03/202403/03/24Polonia Warszawa1:1GlogowD

Polonia Warszawa's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match

Cornersleague corners11.0league 11.1under 11.5: 57%Expected corners: 11.0 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.won · ended 11

Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.0under 4.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 64% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 4

Refereeawaiting appointment

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7

Polonia Warszawa : Glogow

Most likely scores

Market1-113%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-1—0-07%Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-18%0-07%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%0-00-07%0-07%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	77%75%	75%
1X – home team avoid defeat	74%72%	72%
12 – no draw	73%74%	74%
Under 3.5 goals	71%72%	72%
Both teams to score: yes	55%54%	54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	53%54%	54%
Over 2.5 goals	51%50%	50%
Under 2.5 goals	49%50%	50%
1 – Polonia Warszawa win	47%46% · Elo 40%	46%· Elo 40%
Both teams to score: no	45%46%	46%
Over 3.5 goals	29%28%	28%
X – draw	27%26% · Elo 29%	26%· Elo 29%
2 – Glogow win	26%28% · Elo 31%	28%· Elo 31%
Under 1.5 goals	23%25%	25%

Attack vs defence

Polonia Warszawa attack vs Glogow defenceattack1548defence1541+7 pts to the attack

Glogow attack vs Polonia Warszawa defenceattack1457defence1507−50 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form