1. LigaMatchday 11
Legnica vs Stal Mielec: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%61%O2.563%60%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Legnica1:0Stal MielecW
- Stal Mielec1:2LegnicaW
- Stal Mielec1:1LegnicaD
- Legnica0:2Stal MielecL
- Legnica1:2Stal MielecL
Legnica's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 11.1under 11.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 1.2total 3.3Attack/defence1.8 : 1.3total 3.1
Legnica : Stal MielecMost likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%2-08%1-07%3-17%1-2—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%2-08%1-08%3-1—1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-08%2-08%1-01-07%1-08%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%82% | 82% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 80%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 78%77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61%61% | 61% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%62% | 62% |
| 1 – Legnica win | 57%51% · Elo 44% | 51%· Elo 44% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 44%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%38% | 38% |
| Both teams to score: no | 39%40% | 40% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37%40% | 40% |
| X – draw | 23%23% · Elo 28% | 23%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Stal Mielec win | 21%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Legnica attack vs Stal Mielec defenceattack1518defence1408+110 pts to the attack
Stal Mielec attack vs Legnica defenceattack1504defence1506−2 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 8.4 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.572%64%
7.559%48%
8.546%36%
9.534%28%
Each team on its own
Legnicawe expect 4.7, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Stal Mielecwe expect 3.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 25.7 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.555%54%
25.549%51%
26.543%44%
27.537%36%
Each team on its own
Legnicawe expect 13.2, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 45%
Stal Mielecwe expect 12.4, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 47%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 50%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.575%74%
2.550%49%
3.528%28%
4.514%16%
Each team on its own
Legnicawe expect 1.2, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Stal Mielecwe expect 1.5, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Stal Mielec concede 2.4 goals per game
- Legnica: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Stal Mielec: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Legnica | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 14 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:24 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
Legnica are the favourites. Chances: Legnica win 57%, draw 23%, Stal Mielec win 21%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Legnica 2.1, Stal Mielec 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 63%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
The chance that both teams score is 61%.
When is Legnica vs Stal Mielec?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 17 October 2026, 14:30 (UK time).