1. LigaMatchday 11
Warta Poznan vs Unia Skierniewice: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%58%O2.559%56%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners10.9league 11.1under 11.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 11.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 11.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.4total 3.1Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Warta Poznan : Unia SkierniewiceMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%2-07%1-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Warta Poznan win | 45%48% · Elo 45% | 48%· Elo 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%42% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37%34% | 34% |
| 2 – Unia Skierniewice win | 29%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| X – draw | 26%25% · Elo 28% | 25%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Warta Poznan attack vs Unia Skierniewice defenceattack1555defence1487+68 pts to the attack
Unia Skierniewice attack vs Warta Poznan defenceattack1505defence1518−13 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 8.2 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.570%64%
7.556%48%
8.543%36%
9.531%28%
Each team on its own
Warta Poznanwe expect 4.4, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 44%
Unia Skierniewicewe expect 3.9, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Under 25.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 25.1 in this match, 25.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.24.552%54%
25.545%51%
26.539%44%
27.533%36%
Each team on its own
Warta Poznanwe expect 12.1, league average 13.1 · chance of over 13.5: 34%
Unia Skierniewicewe expect 12.8, league average 12.6 · chance of over 12.5: 51%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 54%close to the league averageunder 46%over
We expect 2.9 in this match, 2.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.577%74%
2.554%49%
3.532%28%
4.516%16%
Each team on its own
Warta Poznanwe expect 1.3, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Unia Skierniewicewe expect 1.6, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 48%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Warta Poznan: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Warta Poznan: newly promoted
- Unia Skierniewice: newly promoted
- Warta Poznan: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Unia Skierniewice: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warta Poznan | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 17 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Warta Poznan vs Unia Skierniewice?
Warta Poznan are the favourites. Chances: Warta Poznan win 45%, draw 26%, Unia Skierniewice win 29%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Warta Poznan vs Unia Skierniewice?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Warta Poznan 1.7, Unia Skierniewice 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Warta Poznan vs Unia Skierniewice?
The chance that both teams score is 62%.
When is Warta Poznan vs Unia Skierniewice?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 16 October 2026, 17:00 (UK time).