EkstraklasaMatchday 3

GKS Katowice 2-1 Wieczysta Krakow: prediction, tips and result

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GKS Katowice
3-20-31-23-24-1
2-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Wieczysta Krakow
3-02-20-21-10-2
Stadium:
Stadion GKS Katowice, Katowice
Referee:
Marcin Kochanek

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won66%

over 2.5 goals in 8 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 9 (54% of league matches); our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

Other tips

  • Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5Won64%

    under 4.5 card points in 5 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 9 (57% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Fouls: Under 23.5Won69%

    our numbers: 21.0 fouls against a league average of 23.9; under 23.5 fouls in 7 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 9 (47% of league matches)

  • Offsides: Over 2.5Won60%

    over 2.5 offsides in 7 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 9 (50% of league matches); our numbers: 3.1 offsides against a league average of 2.8

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Won9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloGKS Katowice165648%66%Draw24%20%Wieczysta Krakow143328%13%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%62%O2.567%62%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.3both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.8over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 4.0over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.lost · ended 0
RefereeM. Kochanek−0.5 yellow cards vs average18 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)70%X22:11:0coverageleague 74%covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.5total 3.5Attack/defence1.9 : 1.3total 3.2
GKS Katowice : Wieczysta Krakow
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-19%1-0—2-06%1-27%2-27%Attack/defence1-110%2-110%1-08%2-08%1-26%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-08%2-02-06%2-08%1-21-27%1-26%2-22-27%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals86%83%83%
12 – no draw76%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat72%75%75%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals67%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes67%62%62%
Under 3.5 goals55%60%60%
X2 – away team avoid defeat52%48%48%
1 – GKS Katowice win48%52% · Elo 66%52%· Elo 66%
Over 3.5 goals45%40%40%
Under 2.5 goals33%38%38%
Both teams to score: no33%38%38%
2 – Wieczysta Krakow win28%25% · Elo 13%25%· Elo 13%
X – draw24%23% · Elo 20%23%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals14%17%17%
Attack vs defence
GKS Katowice attack vs Wieczysta Krakow defenceattack1534defence1429+105 pts to the attack
Wieczysta Krakow attack vs GKS Katowice defenceattack1507defence1487+20 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.563%61%
8.551%52%
9.538%39%
10.527%25%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
GKS Katowicewe expect 5.2, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 58%
Wieczysta Krakowwe expect 3.7, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 49%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 69%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 31%
We expect 21.0 in this match, 23.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.537%60%
23.531%53%
24.525%48%
25.520%42%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
GKS Katowicewe expect 10.9, league average 11.9 · chance of over 11.5: 41%
Wieczysta Krakowwe expect 10.3, league average 12.0 · chance of over 12.5: 26%
Referee: 20.3 fouls per match on average (12 matches in our data)−1.3 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 3.1 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.582%75%
2.560%50%
3.539%31%
4.521%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
GKS Katowicewe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Wieczysta Krakowwe expect 1.8, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 52%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • GKS Katowice: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Wieczysta Krakow concede a lot late on: 8 of 17 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Wieczysta Krakow: newly promoted
  • GKS Katowice played 3 days ago
  • Wieczysta Krakow played 3 days ago

League form

GKS Katowice

Wieczysta Krakow

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5GKS Katowice1060422:1518
15Wieczysta Krakow1022615:198
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Krakow?

GKS Katowice 2-1 Wieczysta Krakow (half time 1-0).

Did the GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Krakow tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.

See also