EkstraklasaMatchday 10

Rakow 1-4 GKS Katowice: prediction, tips and result

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Rakow
1-20-12-12-32-3
1-4Full time(half time 1-1)
GKS Katowice
3-21-20-33-25-0
Stadium:
Miejski Stadion Pitkarski Rakow, Czestochowa
Referee:
Damian Kos

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won63%

over 2.5 goals in 8 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 8 (54% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Fouls – Rakow: Under 11.5Won65%

    our numbers for Rakow: 10.4 fouls against a league average of 11.8; Rakow: under 11.5 fouls in 6 of their last 9 league matches, GKS Katowice's opponents committed under 11.5 in 6 of 8 (47% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – GKS Katowice: Over 3.5Won61%

    GKS Katowice: 4.6 shots on target a match, Rakow's opponents had 5.7 on average, league average 3.9; our numbers for GKS Katowice: 4.3 shots on target against a league average of 3.9

  • Offsides – GKS Katowice: Under 1.5Lost70%

    our numbers for GKS Katowice: 1.1 offsides against a league average of 1.4

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloRakow165742%47%Draw25%27%GKS Katowice165633%25%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%59%O2.565%57%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Rakow1:0GKS KatowiceW
  2. GKS Katowice0:1RakowW
  3. Rakow1:2GKS KatowiceL
  4. GKS Katowice0:1RakowW
  5. GKS Katowice0:3RakowW
Rakow's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.8over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.0league 4.0over 3.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 5
RefereeD. Kos+0.2 yellow cards vs average32 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)75%O2.51:1coverageleague 64% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.5total 3.3Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 3.0
Rakow : GKS Katowice
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-0—1-28%2-06%2-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%1-27%2-08%2-2—0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-09%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-06%2-08%2-22-27%2-2—0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%80%80%
12 – no draw75%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat67%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes66%59%59%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals65%57%57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%52%52%
Under 3.5 goals57%65%65%
Over 3.5 goals43%35%35%
1 – Rakow win42%49% · Elo 47%49%· Elo 47%
Under 2.5 goals35%43%43%
Both teams to score: no34%41%41%
2 – GKS Katowice win33%27% · Elo 25%27%· Elo 25%
X – draw25%24% · Elo 27%24%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals15%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Rakow attack vs GKS Katowice defenceattack1538defence1479+59 pts to the attack
GKS Katowice attack vs Rakow defenceattack1518defence1505+13 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.564%61%
8.552%51%
9.539%38%
10.528%24%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rakowwe expect 4.6, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 47%
GKS Katowicewe expect 4.3, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 61%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 22.3 in this match, 23.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.547%59%
23.540%52%
24.534%47%
25.528%41%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rakowwe expect 10.4, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 35%
GKS Katowicewe expect 11.5, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 48%
Referee: 23.2 fouls per match on average (28 matches in our data)+0.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 2.5 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.572%75%
2.546%50%
3.525%32%
4.512%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Rakowwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
GKS Katowicewe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 30%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rakow concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Rakow: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • GKS Katowice: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Rakow: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Rakow: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • GKS Katowice: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Rakow

GKS Katowice

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5GKS Katowice1060422:1518
18Rakow1010913:253
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Rakow vs GKS Katowice?

Rakow 1-4 GKS Katowice (half time 1-1).

Did the Rakow vs GKS Katowice tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.

See also