EkstraklasaMatchday 5

Rakow 1-2 Gornik Z.: prediction, tips and result

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1-2Full time(half time 0-2)
Stadium:
Miejski Stadion Pitkarski Rakow, Czestochowa (attendance: 5,203)
Referee:
Pawel Raczkowski

The match in numbers

1X2EloRakow165736%48%Draw27%27%Gornik Z.170837%25%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%54%O2.558%50%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Gornik Z.3:1RakowL
  2. Rakow0:1Gornik Z.L
  3. Rakow1:0Gornik Z.W
  4. Gornik Z.0:0RakowD
  5. Rakow0:1Gornik Z.L
Rakow's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 8
Cardsleague cards4.5league 4.1under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 3
RefereeP. Raczkowski+0.9 cards vs average31 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.5total 3.0Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Rakow : Gornik Z.
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-07%2-18%1-28%2-0—0-17%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%1-2—2-08%0-18%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-07%1-010%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-08%0-10-17%0-18%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%75%75%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals65%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat64%55%55%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes61%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals58%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals42%50%50%
Both teams to score: no39%46%46%
2 – Gornik Z. win37%29% · Elo 25%29%· Elo 25%
1 – Rakow win36%45% · Elo 48%45%· Elo 48%
Over 3.5 goals35%28%28%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals19%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Rakow attack vs Gornik Z. defenceattack1537defence1550−13 pts to the attack
Gornik Z. attack vs Rakow defenceattack1510defence1534−24 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rakow: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Rakow: 4 defeats in a row
  • Gornik Z. concede a lot late on: 9 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Rakow: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Gornik Z.: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Gornik Z.1081119:925
18Rakow1010913:253
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Rakow vs Gornik Z.?

Rakow 1-2 Gornik Z. (half time 0-2).