EkstraklasaMatchday 7

Lech Poznan 1-0 Rakow: prediction, tips and result

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Lech Poznan
0-02-13-03-22-1
1-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Rakow
1-22-51-21-21-2
Stadium:
Stadium Poznan, Poznan (attendance: 33,615)
Referee:
Damian Kos

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost61%

under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (58% of league matches); 3.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.6 in the visitors', league average 4.1

Other tips

  • Match Result: Lech PoznanWon61%

    Lech Poznan: won 4 of their last 5 league matches; 4 league wins in a row

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost63%

    over 2.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 5 (53% of league matches); our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost42%

under 3.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (44% of league matches); 3.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.6 in the visitors', league average 4.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLech Poznan180961%56%Draw21%25%Rakow165718%20%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%57%O2.563%56%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Lech Poznan4:3RakowW
  2. Rakow2:2Lech PoznanD
  3. Lech Poznan0:1RakowL
  4. Rakow0:0Lech PoznanD
  5. Rakow4:0Lech PoznanL
Lech Poznan's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.1under 4.5: 61%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 6
RefereeD. Kos+0.3 cards vs average30 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.1total 3.3Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.9
Lech Poznan : Rakow
Most likely scores
Market1-110%2-110%1-08%2-09%3-17%1-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-09%3-16%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-09%2-09%3-13-17%3-16%1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%79%79%
1X – home team avoid defeat82%76%76%
12 – no draw79%76%76%
Over 2.5 goals63%56%56%
1 – Lech Poznan win61%52% · Elo 56%52%· Elo 56%
Both teams to score: yes60%57%57%
Under 3.5 goals59%66%66%
Over 3.5 goals41%34%34%
Both teams to score: no40%43%43%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals37%44%44%
X – draw21%24% · Elo 25%24%· Elo 25%
2 – Rakow win18%24% · Elo 20%24%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals16%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Lech Poznan attack vs Rakow defenceattack1612defence1528+84 pts to the attack
Rakow attack vs Lech Poznan defenceattack1535defence1563−28 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rakow: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Rakow: 5 defeats in a row
  • Lech Poznan: 4 wins in a row
  • Lech Poznan played 3 days ago
  • Rakow played 3 days ago

League form

Lech Poznan

Rakow

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Lech Poznan971121:822
18Rakow1010913:253
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lech Poznan vs Rakow?

Lech Poznan 1-0 Rakow (half time 0-0).

Did the Lech Poznan vs Rakow tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.

See also