EkstraklasaMatchday 5
Lech Poznan 2-1 Jagiellonia: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Stadium Poznan, Poznan (attendance: 24,201)
- Referee:
- Szymon Marciniak
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won68%
referee Szymon Marciniak averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 4.1; our numbers: 3.7 cards against a league average of 4.1
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Won67%
our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8
- Match Result: Lech PoznanWon60%
Lech Poznan: 3 league wins in a row
For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won50%
referee Szymon Marciniak averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 4.1
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%61%O2.567%60%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Jagiellonia0:0Lech PoznanD
- Lech Poznan2:2JagielloniaD
- Jagiellonia2:1Lech PoznanL
- Lech Poznan5:0JagielloniaW
- Jagiellonia1:2Lech PoznanW
Lech Poznan's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.7league 4.1under 4.5: 68%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 3
RefereeS. Marciniak−0.7 cards vs average30 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.2 : 1.2total 3.4Attack/defence1.9 : 1.3total 3.1
Lech Poznan : JagielloniaMost likely scores
Market1-19%2-110%2-08%1-07%3-17%1-2—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%2-08%1-08%3-1—1-27%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-08%2-08%1-01-07%1-08%3-13-17%3-1—1-21-2—1-27%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%82% | 82% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63%61% | 61% |
| 1 – Lech Poznan win | 60%51% · Elo 48% | 51%· Elo 48% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55%62% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45%38% | 38% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 40%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 37%39% | 39% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33%40% | 40% |
| X – draw | 21%23% · Elo 27% | 23%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Jagiellonia win | 19%26% · Elo 25% | 26%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%18% | 18% |
Attack vs defence
Lech Poznan attack vs Jagiellonia defenceattack1612defence1513+99 pts to the attack
Jagiellonia attack vs Lech Poznan defenceattack1585defence1560+25 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lech Poznan: unbeaten in 14 matches
- Jagiellonia: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Lech Poznan: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Lech Poznan: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Jagiellonia: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 12 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia?
Lech Poznan 2-1 Jagiellonia (half time 1-1).
Did the Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.