EkstraklasaMatchday 8
Rakow 2-1 Motor Lublin: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Miejski Stadion Pitkarski Rakow, Czestochowa (attendance: 4,759)
- Referee:
- Szymon Marciniak
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won67%
referee Szymon Marciniak averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 4.1
Other tips
- Total Goals: Over 2.5Won61%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 7 (53% of league matches)
For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won49%
referee Szymon Marciniak averages 3.4 cards a match, league average 4.1
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%56%O2.561%56%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Motor Lublin1:1RakowD
- Rakow2:0Motor LublinW
- Rakow2:2Motor LublinD
- Motor Lublin0:2RakowW
Rakow's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.5 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.9under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 67%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 2
RefereeS. Marciniak−0.7 cards vs average31 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.3total 3.2Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.9
Rakow : Motor LublinMost likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%1-07%2-07%1-27%3-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-010%2-09%1-26%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-07%1-010%2-02-07%2-09%1-21-27%1-26%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%78% | 78% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%56% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61%66% | 66% |
| 1 – Rakow win | 50%55% · Elo 59% | 55%· Elo 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%45% | 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39%34% | 34% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%44% | 44% |
| 2 – Motor Lublin win | 26%22% · Elo 17% | 22%· Elo 17% |
| X – draw | 24%23% · Elo 24% | 23%· Elo 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Rakow attack vs Motor Lublin defenceattack1529defence1425+104 pts to the attack
Motor Lublin attack vs Rakow defenceattack1477defence1530−53 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Motor Lublin concede 2.0 goals per game
- Rakow: 6 defeats in a row
- Rakow: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Rakow: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Motor Lublin: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Rakow | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Rakow vs Motor Lublin?
Rakow 2-1 Motor Lublin (half time 1-1).
Did the Rakow vs Motor Lublin tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.