EkstraklasaMatchday 3
Pogon Szczecin 3-1 Motor Lublin: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Florian-Krygier-Stadion, Szczecin (attendance: 19,308)
- Referee:
- Szymon Marciniak
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won58%
over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Cards: Under 4.5Won68%
referee Szymon Marciniak averages 3.5 cards a match, league average 4.1; our numbers: 3.7 cards against a league average of 4.1
For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%56%O2.558%56%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Motor Lublin2:1Pogon SzczecinL
- Pogon Szczecin4:1Motor LublinW
- Pogon Szczecin3:0Motor LublinW
- Motor Lublin4:2Pogon SzczecinL
- Motor Lublin3:2Pogon SzczecinL
Pogon Szczecin's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.7league 4.1under 4.5: 68%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 3
RefereeS. Marciniak−0.6 cards vs average28 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.3total 3.0Attack/defence1.8 : 1.1total 2.9
Pogon Szczecin : Motor LublinMost likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-08%2-07%1-27%3-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-09%1-26%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-08%1-09%2-02-07%2-09%1-21-27%1-26%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65%66% | 66% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60%56% | 56% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 58%56% | 56% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 54%47% | 47% |
| 1 – Pogon Szczecin win | 47%53% · Elo 53% | 53%· Elo 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 40%44% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35%34% | 34% |
| 2 – Motor Lublin win | 28%23% · Elo 21% | 23%· Elo 21% |
| X – draw | 26%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Pogon Szczecin attack vs Motor Lublin defenceattack1520defence1427+93 pts to the attack
Motor Lublin attack vs Pogon Szczecin defenceattack1487defence1523−36 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
Pogon Szczecin
Motor Lublin
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 18 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin?
Pogon Szczecin 3-1 Motor Lublin (half time 2-0).
Did the Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.