EkstraklasaMatchday 7

Motor Lublin 2-3 Legia: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Arena Lublin, Lublin
Referee:
Jaroslaw Przybyl

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won65%

4.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.3 in the visitors', league average 4.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost47%

under 3.5 cards in 3 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 6 (44% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMotor Lublin155227%27%Draw26%28%Legia171947%45%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%55%O2.555%51%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Legia4:0Motor LublinL
  2. Motor Lublin1:1LegiaD
  3. Motor Lublin3:3LegiaD
  4. Legia5:2Motor LublinL
Motor Lublin's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses4.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.9under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 4
RefereeJ. Przybyl−0.3 cards vs average28 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.7total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7
Motor Lublin : Legia
Most likely scores
Market1-112%0-19%1-29%1-0—0-28%2-17%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-29%1-08%0-2—2-18%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%0-10-19%0-19%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-08%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-17%2-18%0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%75%75%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat73%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals68%71%71%
Both teams to score: yes58%55%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%51%51%
1X – home team avoid defeat53%59%59%
2 – Legia win47%41% · Elo 45%41%· Elo 45%
Under 2.5 goals45%49%49%
Both teams to score: no42%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals32%29%29%
1 – Motor Lublin win27%33% · Elo 27%33%· Elo 27%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Motor Lublin attack vs Legia defenceattack1472defence1581−109 pts to the attack
Legia attack vs Motor Lublin defenceattack1534defence1433+101 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Legia concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Legia: unbeaten in 10 matches
  • Legia: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 18 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Motor Lublin: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Legia: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Legia1064021:822
14Motor Lublin1023512:179
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Motor Lublin vs Legia?

Motor Lublin 2-3 Legia (half time 0-1).

Did the Motor Lublin vs Legia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.