EkstraklasaMatchday 6

Motor Lublin 0-2 Piast Gliwice: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Arena Lublin, Lublin
Referee:
Karol Arys

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won60%

referee Karol Arys averages 2.5 cards a match, league average 4.1; our numbers: 3.2 cards against a league average of 4.1

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost60%

    goals at both ends in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMotor Lublin155241%41%Draw27%29%Piast Gliwice162032%31%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%56%O2.556%52%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Piast Gliwice1:2Motor LublinW
  2. Motor Lublin0:0Piast GliwiceD
  3. Motor Lublin1:4Piast GliwiceL
  4. Piast Gliwice2:3Motor LublinW
  5. Motor Lublin1:1Piast GliwiceD
Motor Lublin's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.9over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.2league 4.1under 4.5: 77%Expected cards: 3.2 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 1
RefereeK. Arys−1.7 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.4total 3.0Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Motor Lublin : Piast Gliwice
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%1-28%0-1—2-07%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-28%0-18%2-0—0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-28%1-28%0-10-1—0-18%2-02-07%2-0—0-00-0—0-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%76%76%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%66%66%
Under 3.5 goals66%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes60%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals56%52%52%
Under 2.5 goals44%48%48%
1 – Motor Lublin win41%40% · Elo 41%40%· Elo 41%
Both teams to score: no40%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals34%30%30%
2 – Piast Gliwice win32%34% · Elo 31%34%· Elo 31%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 29%26%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals20%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Motor Lublin attack vs Piast Gliwice defenceattack1481defence1515−34 pts to the attack
Piast Gliwice attack vs Motor Lublin defenceattack1482defence1437+45 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Piast Gliwice concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Piast Gliwice score a lot late on: 14 of 29 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Motor Lublin: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Piast Gliwice: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Piast Gliwice1051418:1616
14Motor Lublin1023512:179
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?

Motor Lublin 0-2 Piast Gliwice (half time 0-0).

Did the Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.