EkstraklasaMatchday 9

Korona Kielce 3-2 Rakow: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Exbud Arena, Kielce (attendance: 11,377)
Referee:
Bartosz Frankowski

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won65%

under 4.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 8 (59% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon58%

    goals at both ends in 5 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 8 (59% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost47%

under 3.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 8 (44% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloKorona Kielce160442%33%Draw27%29%Rakow165731%38%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%53%O2.554%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Rakow2:0Korona KielceL
  2. Korona Kielce1:4RakowL
  3. Korona Kielce1:1RakowD
  4. Rakow1:1Korona KielceD
  5. Korona Kielce0:2RakowL
Korona Kielce's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.8under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.9league 4.1under 4.5: 65%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.won · ended 4
RefereeB. Frankowski−0.3 cards vs average29 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.3total 2.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Korona Kielce : Rakow
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%2-19%0-1—1-28%0-0—2-07%Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-19%1-28%0-08%2-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-0—0-08%2-02-07%2-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals78%74%74%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%67%67%
Under 3.5 goals68%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%60%60%
Both teams to score: yes58%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals54%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals46%52%52%
1 – Korona Kielce win42%40% · Elo 33%40%· Elo 33%
Both teams to score: no42%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals32%27%27%
2 – Rakow win31%33% · Elo 38%33%· Elo 38%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 29%27%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals22%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Korona Kielce attack vs Rakow defenceattack1464defence1520−56 pts to the attack
Rakow attack vs Korona Kielce defenceattack1534defence1525+9 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Rakow: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Korona Kielce: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Rakow: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Korona Kielce: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Rakow: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Korona Kielce1043312:1215
18Rakow1010913:253
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Korona Kielce vs Rakow?

Korona Kielce 3-2 Rakow (half time 2-0).

Did the Korona Kielce vs Rakow tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.