EkstraklasaMatchday 10

Wieczysta Krakow 3-0 Wisla Plock: prediction, tips and result

Friday 9 October · 17:00

Wieczysta Krakow

2-3 0-2 1-1 0-2 2-2

3-0Full time(half time 1-0)

Wisla Plock

2-0 3-1 1-1 0-2 0-5

Stadium:: Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Krakow
Referee:: Bartosz Frankowski

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: 9 October 2026, 11:40. A published tip never changes.

Main tip

Cards – Wisla Plock (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won67%

Wisla Plock: under 2.5 card points in 6 of their last 8 league matches, Wieczysta Krakow's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 7 of 8 (58% of league matches); 1.6 card points a match, Wieczysta Krakow's opponents collected 1.2 card points on average, league average 2.3; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

Shots on Target – Wisla Plock: Over 3.5Lost60%
Wisla Plock: 4.4 shots on target a match, Wieczysta Krakow's opponents had 5.5 on average, league average 3.9; over 3.5 shots on target in 5 of their last 8 league matches, Wieczysta Krakow's opponents had over 3.5 in 6 of 8 (51% of league matches)

For the brave

Cards – Wisla Plock (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5Won40%

Wisla Plock: 1.6 card points a match, Wieczysta Krakow's opponents collected 1.2 card points on average, league average 2.3; under 1.5 card points in 4 of their last 8 league matches, Wieczysta Krakow's opponents collected under 1.5 card points in 5 of 8 (36% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWieczysta Krakow143344%28%Draw26%28%Wisla Plock152930%43%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%57%O2.560%54%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.3not both scored

H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met

Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.8over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 13

Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 4.0over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.won · ended 4

RefereeB. Frankowski−0.2 yellow cards vs average30 matches

Dutching(several bets at once)72%O2.51:1coverageleague 64%covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.7 : 1.4total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.3total 2.8

Wieczysta Krakow : Wisla Plock

Most likely scores

Market1-112%2-19%1-07%1-27%2-07%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%2-07%0-17%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-27%1-27%2-02-07%2-07%0-10-1—0-17%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	82%77%	77%
12 – no draw	74%75%	75%
1X – home team avoid defeat	70%69%	69%
Under 3.5 goals	63%69%	69%
Both teams to score: yes	62%57%	57%
Over 2.5 goals	60%54%	54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	56%56%	56%
1 – Wieczysta Krakow win	44%44% · Elo 28%	44%· Elo 28%
Under 2.5 goals	40%46%	46%
Both teams to score: no	38%43%	43%
Over 3.5 goals	37%31%	31%
2 – Wisla Plock win	30%31% · Elo 43%	31%· Elo 43%
X – draw	26%26% · Elo 28%	26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals	18%23%	23%

Attack vs defence

Wieczysta Krakow attack vs Wisla Plock defenceattack1495defence1496−1 pts to the attack

Wisla Plock attack vs Wieczysta Krakow defenceattack1438defence1414+24 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Over 8.5 · 52%close to the league averageunder 48%over

We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

7.565%61%

8.552%51%

9.539%38%

10.528%24%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Wieczysta Krakowwe expect 4.7, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 49%

Wisla Plockwe expect 4.2, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 60%

Foulsleague average

Under 23.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%

We expect 22.0 in this match, 23.8 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

22.544%59%

23.537%52%

24.531%47%

25.525%41%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Wieczysta Krakowwe expect 11.4, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 46%

Wisla Plockwe expect 12.0, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 52%

Referee: 20.1 fouls per match on average (27 matches in our data)−2.4 vs the league average

Offsidesleague average

Over 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 48%over

We expect 2.8 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.

LineChance of overLeague

1.576%75%

2.553%50%

3.531%32%

4.515%16%

Both teams combined. Main line in bold.

Each team on its own

Wieczysta Krakowwe expect 1.4, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 41%

Wisla Plockwe expect 1.4, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 39%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Wieczysta Krakow concede a lot late on: 8 of 17 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
Wieczysta Krakow: newly promoted
Wieczysta Krakow: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
Wisla Plock: 19 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form