EkstraklasaMatchday 7

Pogon Szczecin 1-1 Wisla Plock: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Florian-Krygier-Stadion, Szczecin (attendance: 12,191)
Referee:
Lukasz Kuzma

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost66%

referee Lukasz Kuzma averages 3.7 cards a match, league average 4.1

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost47%

referee Lukasz Kuzma averages 3.7 cards a match, league average 4.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPogon Szczecin167344%59%Draw27%24%Wisla Plock152929%18%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%51%O2.553%48%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Pogon Szczecin3:0Wisla PlockW
  2. Wisla Plock2:0Pogon SzczecinL
  3. Wisla Plock0:1Pogon SzczecinW
  4. Pogon Szczecin2:2Wisla PlockD
  5. Pogon Szczecin1:2Wisla PlockL
Pogon Szczecin's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 10
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.1under 4.5: 66%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 6
RefereeL. Kuzma−0.5 cards vs average30 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.2total 2.8Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Pogon Szczecin : Wisla Plock
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-07%2-19%0-0—0-1—1-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-010%2-110%0-08%0-17%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-09%1-012%2-02-07%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%0-00-0—0-08%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-27%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals78%73%73%
12 – no draw73%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat71%77%77%
Under 3.5 goals69%74%74%
Both teams to score: yes57%51%51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals53%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals47%52%52%
1 – Pogon Szczecin win44%51% · Elo 59%51%· Elo 59%
Both teams to score: no43%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals31%26%26%
2 – Wisla Plock win29%23% · Elo 18%23%· Elo 18%
X – draw27%26% · Elo 24%26%· Elo 24%
Under 1.5 goals22%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Pogon Szczecin attack vs Wisla Plock defenceattack1508defence1482+26 pts to the attack
Wisla Plock attack vs Pogon Szczecin defenceattack1425defence1528−103 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Wisla Plock concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Wisla Plock score only 0.5 goals per game
  • Wisla Plock matches average 11.9 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Wisla Plock: only 5 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Pogon Szczecin: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Wisla Plock: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Pogon Szczecin953114:618
12Wisla Plock93249:1511
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock?

Pogon Szczecin 1-1 Wisla Plock (half time 0-0).

Did the Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Plock tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.