EkstraklasaMatchday 8

Wisla Plock 3-1 Cracovia: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Stadion im. Kazimierza Gorskiego, Plock
Referee:
Pawel Raczkowski

Our tips

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Lost58%

over 9.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (51% of league matches); 11.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 13.3 in the visitors', league average 9.9

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 4.5Won55%

    under 4.5 cards in 4 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 7 (59% of league matches); 3.7 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.9 in the visitors', league average 4.1

For the brave
Corners: Over 11.5Lost35%

11.0 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 13.3 in the visitors', league average 9.9; over 11.5 corners in 2 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (30% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWisla Plock152937%34%Draw28%29%Cracovia158835%37%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%49%O2.549%43%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Cracovia1:2Wisla PlockW
  2. Wisla Plock0:0CracoviaD
  3. Cracovia3:0Wisla PlockL
  4. Wisla Plock1:0CracoviaW
  5. Cracovia3:0Wisla PlockL
Wisla Plock's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 9.9over 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.1under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4
RefereeP. Raczkowski+0.9 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Wisla Plock : Cracovia
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%0-18%0-0—2-18%1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-110%0-09%2-18%1-2—2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%0-10-18%0-110%0-00-0—0-09%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-28%1-2—2-02-0—2-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%69%69%
12 – no draw72%72%72%
Under 3.5 goals72%78%78%
1X – home team avoid defeat65%68%68%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%60%60%
Both teams to score: yes55%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals51%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals49%43%43%
Both teams to score: no45%51%51%
1 – Wisla Plock win37%40% · Elo 34%40%· Elo 34%
2 – Cracovia win35%32% · Elo 37%32%· Elo 37%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 29%28%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals28%22%22%
Under 1.5 goals25%31%31%
Attack vs defence
Wisla Plock attack vs Cracovia defenceattack1427defence1524−97 pts to the attack
Cracovia attack vs Wisla Plock defenceattack1450defence1484−34 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Wisla Plock concede 2.1 goals per game
  • Wisla Plock score only 0.6 goals per game
  • Wisla Plock: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Cracovia: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Cracovia1032512:1511
12Wisla Plock93249:1511
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Wisla Plock vs Cracovia?

Wisla Plock 3-1 Cracovia (half time 1-0).

Did the Wisla Plock vs Cracovia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip lost.