EkstraklasaMatchday 7
Cracovia 0-1 Gornik Z.: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium, Krakow
- Referee:
- Karol Arys
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Lost58%
referee Karol Arys averages 2.4 cards a match, league average 4.1; our numbers: 3.3 cards against a league average of 4.1
Other tips
- Corners: Over 9.5Lost59%
14.3 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 10.6 in the visitors', league average 9.9; over 9.5 corners in 6 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 2 of the visitors' last 5 (51% of league matches)
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%51%O2.549%45%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Gornik Z.3:0CracoviaL
- Cracovia1:1Gornik Z.D
- Gornik Z.0:1CracoviaW
- Cracovia3:2Gornik Z.W
- Cracovia5:0Gornik Z.W
Cracovia's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 9.9over 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards3.3league 4.1under 4.5: 76%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 12%.won · ended 4
RefereeK. Arys−1.8 cards vs average33 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Cracovia : Gornik Z.Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%0-18%0-0—2-18%1-28%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-110%0-09%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%0-10-18%0-110%0-00-0—0-09%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-28%1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%71% | 71% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 72%72% | 72% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 63%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%45% | 45% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%49% | 49% |
| 1 – Cracovia win | 37%39% · Elo 35% | 39%· Elo 35% |
| 2 – Gornik Z. win | 35%33% · Elo 36% | 33%· Elo 36% |
| X – draw | 28%28% · Elo 29% | 28%· Elo 29% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27%24% | 24% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%29% | 29% |
Attack vs defence
Cracovia attack vs Gornik Z. defenceattack1460defence1553−93 pts to the attack
Gornik Z. attack vs Cracovia defenceattack1515defence1528−13 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Cracovia matches average 12.4 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Gornik Z.: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Gornik Z. concede a lot late on: 10 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Gornik Z. played 3 days ago
- Cracovia: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Z. | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cracovia vs Gornik Z.?
Cracovia 0-1 Gornik Z. (half time 0-0).
Did the Cracovia vs Gornik Z. tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip lost.