EkstraklasaMatchday 10

Piast Gliwice 2-1 Widzew Lodz: prediction, tips and result

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Piast Gliwice
1-12-03-02-01-2
2-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Widzew Lodz
2-21-10-02-33-3
Stadium:
Stadion Miejski w Gliwicach, Gliwice
Referee:
Jaroslaw Przybyl

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Won57%

11.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.4 in the visitors', league average 9.8

Other tips

  • Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5Won65%

    our numbers: 3.9 card points against a league average of 4.3; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Fouls – Widzew Lodz: Under 11.5Lost57%

    our numbers for Widzew Lodz: 11.1 fouls against a league average of 12.0

  • Offsides – Widzew Lodz: Under 1.5Won72%

    Widzew Lodz: under 1.5 offsides in 8 of their last 9 league matches, Piast Gliwice's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 6 of 9 (62% of league matches); our numbers for Widzew Lodz: 1.1 offsides against a league average of 1.4

  • Shots on Target – Widzew Lodz: Over 3.5Won55%

    Widzew Lodz: 4.1 shots on target a match, Piast Gliwice's opponents had 5.2 on average, league average 4.0

For the brave
Corners: Over 10.5Won46%

11.4 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 11.4 in the visitors', league average 9.8; over 10.5 corners in 5 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 9 (40% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPiast Gliwice162035%46%Draw27%28%Widzew Lodz157638%27%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%51%O2.554%47%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Widzew Lodz2:1Piast GliwiceL
  2. Piast Gliwice0:2Widzew LodzL
  3. Piast Gliwice0:2Widzew LodzL
  4. Widzew Lodz1:0Piast GliwiceL
  5. Widzew Lodz1:0Piast GliwiceL
Piast Gliwice's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 9.8over 9.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 19
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 4.0over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 4
RefereeJ. Przybyl−0.3 yellow cards vs average30 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)74%X22:1coverageleague 65% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.5
Piast Gliwice : Widzew Lodz
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-07%2-18%1-29%2-0—0-0—0-18%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%1-2—2-09%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-07%1-011%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-29%1-2—2-02-0—2-09%0-00-0—0-08%0-10-18%0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%72%72%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals68%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%54%54%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%73%73%
Both teams to score: yes59%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals54%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals46%53%53%
Both teams to score: no41%49%49%
2 – Widzew Lodz win38%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
1 – Piast Gliwice win35%46% · Elo 46%46%· Elo 46%
Over 3.5 goals32%25%25%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Piast Gliwice attack vs Widzew Lodz defenceattack1488defence1530−42 pts to the attack
Widzew Lodz attack vs Piast Gliwice defenceattack1453defence1530−77 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 50%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.563%61%
8.550%51%
9.537%39%
10.527%25%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Piast Gliwicewe expect 4.7, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 50%
Widzew Lodzwe expect 4.0, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 55%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 24.3 in this match, 23.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.560%59%
23.553%52%
24.547%47%
25.540%41%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Piast Gliwicewe expect 12.5, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 58%
Widzew Lodzwe expect 11.1, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 43%
Referee: 24.1 fouls per match on average (27 matches in our data)+1.2 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 2.6 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.572%75%
2.547%50%
3.526%32%
4.512%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Piast Gliwicewe expect 1.5, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Widzew Lodzwe expect 1.1, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 28%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Piast Gliwice matches average only 2.9 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Piast Gliwice score a lot late on: 14 of 32 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Piast Gliwice: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Widzew Lodz: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Piast Gliwice

Widzew Lodz

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Piast Gliwice1051418:1616
13Widzew Lodz1016314:159
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz?

Piast Gliwice 2-1 Widzew Lodz (half time 0-0).

Did the Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Lodz tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip won.

See also