EkstraklasaMatchday 10

Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Korona Kielce: prediction, tips and result

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Pogon Szczecin
2-20-01-12-02-1
2-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Korona Kielce
3-20-22-11-12-0
Stadium:
Florian-Krygier-Stadion, Szczecin
Referee:
Piotr Lasyk

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5Won70%

referee Piotr Lasyk averages 3.4 card points a match, league average 4.3; our numbers: 3.6 card points against a league average of 4.3; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Fouls: Over 23.5Won63%

    referee Piotr Lasyk averages 24.6 fouls a match, league average 23.8; our numbers: 25.8 fouls against a league average of 23.8

  • Shots on Target – Pogon Szczecin: Under 4.5Won61%

    our numbers for Pogon Szczecin: 4.1 shots on target against a league average of 4.7; Pogon Szczecin: 4.0 shots on target a match, Korona Kielce's opponents had 3.6 on average, league average 4.7

For the brave
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost32%

referee Piotr Lasyk averages 3.4 card points a match, league average 4.3; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPogon Szczecin167341%48%Draw28%27%Korona Kielce160431%25%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%53%O2.548%49%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Pogon Szczecin2:1Korona KielceW
  2. Korona Kielce1:0Pogon SzczecinL
  3. Korona Kielce0:0Pogon SzczecinD
  4. Pogon Szczecin3:0Korona KielceW
  5. Korona Kielce2:2Pogon SzczecinD
Pogon Szczecin's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.8under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 4.0under 3.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 4
RefereeP. Lasyk−1.0 yellow cards vs average28 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)68%BTTS yes1:0coverageleague 67% · H2H 2/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.2total 2.6Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6
Pogon Szczecin : Korona Kielce
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-010%2-19%2-0—0-08%0-18%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-08%0-08%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%0-00-08%0-08%0-10-18%0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals74%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals74%73%73%
12 – no draw72%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat59%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes53%53%53%
Under 2.5 goals52%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals48%49%49%
Both teams to score: no47%47%47%
1 – Pogon Szczecin win41%47% · Elo 48%47%· Elo 48%
2 – Korona Kielce win31%27% · Elo 25%27%· Elo 25%
X – draw28%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals26%26%26%
Over 3.5 goals26%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Pogon Szczecin attack vs Korona Kielce defenceattack1503defence1523−20 pts to the attack
Korona Kielce attack vs Pogon Szczecin defenceattack1477defence1539−62 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.557%61%
8.544%51%
9.532%39%
10.522%25%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Pogon Szczecinwe expect 4.1, league average 4.7 · chance of over 4.5: 39%
Korona Kielcewe expect 3.9, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 54%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 63%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 37%over
We expect 25.8 in this match, 23.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.569%59%
23.563%52%
24.556%47%
25.550%41%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Pogon Szczecinwe expect 13.1, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 64%
Korona Kielcewe expect 11.2, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 45%
Referee: 24.6 fouls per match on average (28 matches in our data)+2.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 2.7 in this match, 2.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.574%75%
2.550%50%
3.528%32%
4.513%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Pogon Szczecinwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
Korona Kielcewe expect 1.3, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 38%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Pogon Szczecin matches average only 7.7 corners (league 9.8) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Pogon Szczecin: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Korona Kielce: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Pogon Szczecin

Korona Kielce

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Pogon Szczecin953114:618
8Korona Kielce1043312:1215
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce?

Pogon Szczecin 2-0 Korona Kielce (half time 1-0).

Did the Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 4.5. The tip won.

See also