EkstraklasaMatchday 8

Wisla 2-0 Jagiellonia: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana, Krakow (attendance: 30,736)
Referee:
Piotr Lasyk

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won69%

referee Piotr Lasyk averages 3.3 cards a match, league average 4.1; our numbers: 3.7 cards against a league average of 4.1

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost64%

    goals at both ends in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 6 (59% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWisla157143%22%Draw25%26%Jagiellonia170432%51%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%63%O2.562%60%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.6not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Wisla0:0JagielloniaD
  2. Jagiellonia3:1WislaL
  3. Wisla2:0JagielloniaW
  4. Jagiellonia1:1WislaD
  5. Wisla3:0JagielloniaW
Wisla's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 9.9over 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.7league 4.1under 4.5: 69%Expected cards: 3.7 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 1
RefereeP. Lasyk−0.9 cards vs average27 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.5total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.6total 3.1
Wisla : Jagiellonia
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-28%2-27%0-1—1-06%Attack/defence1-111%2-18%1-29%2-27%0-17%1-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-28%1-29%2-22-27%2-27%0-10-1—0-17%1-01-06%1-07%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%82%82%
12 – no draw75%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes64%63%63%
Over 2.5 goals62%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals60%62%62%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%63%63%
1 – Wisla win43%37% · Elo 22%37%· Elo 22%
Over 3.5 goals40%38%38%
Under 2.5 goals38%40%40%
Both teams to score: no36%38%38%
2 – Jagiellonia win32%39% · Elo 51%39%· Elo 51%
X – draw25%25% · Elo 26%25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals16%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Wisla attack vs Jagiellonia defenceattack1513defence1510+3 pts to the attack
Jagiellonia attack vs Wisla defenceattack1578defence1429+149 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Jagiellonia: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Wisla: newly promoted
  • Wisla: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Jagiellonia: 5 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Wisla1052317:1417
10Jagiellonia940513:1612
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Wisla vs Jagiellonia?

Wisla 2-0 Jagiellonia (half time 1-0).

Did the Wisla vs Jagiellonia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.