Liga Portugal 2Matchday 4

Academica 0-2 Lourosa: prediction, tips and result

·

0-2Full time(half time 0-1)
Stadium:
Estadio Cidade de Coimbra, Coimbra (attendance: 9,500)
Referee:
Flavio Miguel Gomes Azevedo Duarte

The match in numbers

1X2EloAcademica136139%44%Draw31%28%Lourosa139131%29%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%54%O2.540%49%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeF. Miguel Gomes Azevedo Duarte−0.8 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.1total 2.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.6
Academica : Lourosa
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-011%0-110%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%0-08%0-18%2-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-011%1-010%0-00-011%0-08%0-10-110%0-18%2-12-18%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals80%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%70%70%
12 – no draw70%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals67%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%56%56%
Under 2.5 goals60%51%51%
Both teams to score: no53%47%47%
Both teams to score: yes47%54%54%
Over 2.5 goals40%49%49%
1 – Academica win39%44% · Elo 44%44%· Elo 44%
Under 1.5 goals33%26%26%
X – draw31%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
2 – Lourosa win31%30% · Elo 29%30%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals20%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Academica attack vs Lourosa defenceattack1502defence1462+40 pts to the attack
Lourosa attack vs Academica defenceattack1509defence1491+18 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Lourosa score a lot late on: 10 of 24 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Academica: newly promoted
  • Academica: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Lourosa: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lourosa752012:517
6Academica740310:1012
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Academica vs Lourosa?

Academica 0-2 Lourosa (half time 0-1).