Liga Portugal 2Matchday 3

Lourosa 2-2 Torreense: prediction, tips and result

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2-2Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes, Vila Nova de Gaia
Referee:
Diogo Miguel Mauzinho Rosa

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 5.5Won59%

referee Diogo Miguel Mauzinho Rosa averages 7.6 cards a match, league average 6.0

For the brave
Cards: Over 7.5Lost31%

referee Diogo Miguel Mauzinho Rosa averages 7.6 cards a match, league average 6.0

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLourosa139129%32%Draw29%28%Torreense144441%40%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS51%54%O2.545%49%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
  1. Lourosa1:2TorreenseL
  2. Torreense0:1LourosaW
Lourosa's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners9.4league 9.6under 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.4 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards6.3league 6.0over 5.5: 59%Expected cards: 6.3 in this match, 6.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 6
RefereeD. Miguel Mauzinho Rosa+1.5 cards vs average18 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.4total 2.5Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Lourosa : Torreense
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-110%1-08%0-09%1-29%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-09%0-08%1-28%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-110%0-19%1-01-08%1-09%0-00-09%0-08%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals76%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals72%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat70%62%62%
12 – no draw70%73%73%
1X – home team avoid defeat58%65%65%
Under 2.5 goals55%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes51%54%54%
Both teams to score: no49%46%46%
Over 2.5 goals45%49%49%
2 – Torreense win41%36% · Elo 40%36%· Elo 40%
1 – Lourosa win29%38% · Elo 32%38%· Elo 32%
X – draw29%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals28%26%26%
Over 3.5 goals24%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Lourosa attack vs Torreense defenceattack1505defence1515−10 pts to the attack
Torreense attack vs Lourosa defenceattack1543defence1468+75 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Torreense matches average only 4.5 cards (league 6.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Lourosa score a lot late on: 11 of 24 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Lourosa: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Torreense: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Lourosa752012:517
15Torreense71337:106
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lourosa vs Torreense?

Lourosa 2-2 Torreense (half time 1-0).

Did the Lourosa vs Torreense tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 5.5. The tip won.