Liga Portugal 2Matchday 6
Amarante 2-2 Leiria: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Municipal de Amarante, Amarante
- Referee:
- Anzhony Francisco Goncalves Rodrigues
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won58%
our numbers: 5.2 cards against a league average of 5.9; referee Anzhony Francisco Goncalves Rodrigues averages 4.7 cards a match, league average 5.9
Other tips
- Corners: Under 9.5Lost58%
6.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 9.2 in the visitors', league average 9.5
For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won41%
under 4.5 cards in 3 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (33% of league matches); referee Anzhony Francisco Goncalves Rodrigues averages 4.7 cards a match, league average 5.9
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%54%O2.541%49%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3both scored
H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met
Cornersleague corners9.0league 9.5under 9.5: 58%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 10
Cardsleague cards5.2league 5.9under 5.5: 58%Expected cards: 5.2 in this match, 5.9 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.won · ended 3
RefereeA. Francisco Goncalves Rodrigues−1.0 cards vs average23 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 1.3total 2.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Amarante : LeiriaMost likely scores
Market1-114%0-112%0-011%1-09%0-29%2-1—1-2—Attack/defence1-113%0-19%0-08%1-09%0-2—2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-112%0-19%0-00-011%0-08%1-01-09%1-09%0-20-29%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 73%63% | 63% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68%74% | 74% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59%51% | 51% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 57%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47%54% | 54% |
| 2 – Leiria win | 43%36% · Elo 42% | 36%· Elo 42% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41%49% | 49% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32%26% | 26% |
| X – draw | 30%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| 1 – Amarante win | 27%37% · Elo 30% | 37%· Elo 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%27% | 27% |
Attack vs defence
Amarante attack vs Leiria defenceattack1473defence1487−14 pts to the attack
Leiria attack vs Amarante defenceattack1567defence1487+80 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Amarante: newly promoted
- Amarante: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Leiria: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Amarante vs Leiria?
Amarante 2-2 Leiria (half time 1-0).
Did the Amarante vs Leiria tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.