Liga PortugalMatchday 2
Alverca 2-2 Estrela: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
- Referee:
- Jose Bessa
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%50%O2.545%45%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Alverca1:1EstrelaD
- Estrela2:2AlvercaD
Alverca's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners9.7league 9.4over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 2
Cardsleague cards5.7league 5.2over 5.5: 50%Expected cards: 5.7 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 42% of matches end over 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 32%.won · ended 7
RefereeJ. Bessa+1.7 cards vs average18 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.1total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Alverca : EstrelaMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-011%0-09%2-19%0-1—2-08%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-09%2-19%0-19%2-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-011%1-011%0-00-09%0-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%2-02-08%2-08%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%76% | 76% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 73%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%73% | 73% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%56% | 56% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 50%50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45%45% | 45% |
| 1 – Alverca win | 44%44% · Elo 44% | 44%· Elo 44% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 29% | 28%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%29% | 29% |
| 2 – Estrela win | 27%29% · Elo 27% | 29%· Elo 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Alverca attack vs Estrela defenceattack1425defence1427−2 pts to the attack
Estrela attack vs Alverca defenceattack1428defence1448−20 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Alverca matches average only 3.5 cards (league 5.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Estrela: no win in 8 matches
- Alverca: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Estrela: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Alverca
Estrela
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:15 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Alverca vs Estrela?
Alverca 2-2 Estrela (half time 0-0).