Liga PortugalMatchday 4
Benfica 2-1 Estoril: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisbon
- Referee:
- Helder Carvalho
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won75%
our numbers: 4.0 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7; over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Cards: Under 5.5Won68%
referee Helder Carvalho averages 4.8 cards a match, league average 5.1
For the brave
Correct Score: 3:0Lost12%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS42%54%O2.575%65%|exp. goals 2.4 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Estoril1:3BenficaW
- Benfica3:1EstorilW
- Estoril1:2BenficaW
- Benfica3:0EstorilW
- Benfica3:1EstorilW
Benfica's record: 5 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.4over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.4 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.6league 5.1under 5.5: 68%Expected cards: 4.6 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.won · ended 1
RefereeH. Carvalho−0.8 cards vs average23 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market3.4 : 0.6total 4.0Attack/defence2.4 : 0.9total 3.3
Benfica : EstorilMost likely scores
Market3-012%2-011%4-010%2-1—1-0—1-1—3-17%5-07%Attack/defence3-09%2-011%4-0—2-110%1-09%1-18%3-18%5-0—
MarketAttack/defence3-03-012%3-09%2-02-011%2-011%4-04-010%4-0—2-12-1—2-110%1-01-0—1-09%1-11-1—1-18%3-13-17%3-18%5-05-07%5-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 97%88% | 88% |
| 12 – no draw | 93%83% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91%84% | 84% |
| 1 – Benfica win | 89%71% · Elo 81% | 71%· Elo 81% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 75%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: no | 58%46% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 55%42% | 42% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 45%58% | 58% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 25%35% | 35% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 12%29% | 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 9%16% | 16% |
| X – draw | 8%17% · Elo 13% | 17%· Elo 13% |
| 2 – Estoril win | 4%12% · Elo 7% | 12%· Elo 7% |
Attack vs defence
Benfica attack vs Estoril defenceattack1739defence1431+308 pts to the attack
Estoril attack vs Benfica defenceattack1510defence1637−127 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Benfica score 2.8 goals per game
- Benfica matches average only 3.9 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Benfica: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Estoril score only 0.7 goals per game
- Benfica: unbeaten in 51 matches
- Estoril: no win in 11 matches
- Benfica: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Estoril: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Benfica vs Estoril?
Benfica 2-1 Estoril (half time 1-0).
Did the Benfica vs Estoril tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.